Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles | Hard | Final
08 Nov 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Novak … Lorenzo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Novak Djokovic
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 16.32 Pro
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 36/48 = 75.0%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking #8
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 38/69 = 55.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 4.0000
rank_ratio 2.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.6931
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 790.0000
best_rank_diff 5.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 18.3784
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18.2824
surface_matches_ratio 0.6957
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 75.0000
surface_wr_p2 56.6216
surface_wr_p1_stable 73.0769
surface_wr_p2_stable 54.7945
p1_surface_matches 48.0000
p2_surface_matches 69.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10.9537
first_serve_won_diff 6.4629
second_serve_won_diff 2.2478
bp_saved_diff 5.2328
bp_converted_diff 7.6614
aces_per_match_diff 3.5239
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 90.0000
momentum_diff 2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1.0000
h2h_matches 1.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1.0000
h2h_on_surface 1.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9940
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.0466
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5652
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5152
serve_consistency_p1 10.9180
serve_consistency_p2 4.0751
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12.7389
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.2460
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0702
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.2800
utr_p1 0.9788
utr_p2 0.9459
utr_advantage 1.7305
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 11998
API ID 14956421
Gamdom ID -
Torneo ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 11998,
    "api_id": 14956421,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Novak Djokovic",
    "player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
    "tournament": "ATP Athens, Greece Men Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-11-08T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 16.32,
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      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 36,
      "wr_surface_total": 48,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 16.04,
      "utr_ranking": 8,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.072463768115945,
      "wr_surface_wins": 38,
      "wr_surface_total": 69,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 56.62162162162162,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.07692307692307,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.794520547945204,
    "p1_surface_matches": 48,
    "p2_surface_matches": 69,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.953662162162153,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.462888513513519,
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    "bp_converted_diff": 7.661435810810801,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.5239358108108085,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 2.000000000000014,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9939577039274925,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0466321243523315,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5151515151515151,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.917981105300333,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.075054573222946,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
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    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
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    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}