Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
ATP Finals | Hard |
09 Nov 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carlos … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 37/43 = 86,0%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 39/55 = 70,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 5,0000
rank_ratio 6,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,7918
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 7970,0000
best_rank_diff 5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,1660
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,1390
surface_matches_ratio 0,7653
surface_tournaments_won_diff 4,0000
surface_wr_p1 82,7326
surface_wr_p2 70,5666
surface_wr_p1_stable 79,7468
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,6078
p1_surface_matches 75,0000
p2_surface_matches 98,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,6267
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,1664
first_serve_won_diff 3,2829
second_serve_won_diff 1,9955
bp_saved_diff -0,2813
bp_converted_diff 1,3337
aces_per_match_diff 0,9632
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 11,4700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 11,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,3579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8981
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5238
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6071
serve_consistency_p1 7,1255
serve_consistency_p2 9,7330
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,7985
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3223
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2107
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4300
utr_p1 0,9788
utr_p2 0,9282
utr_advantage 2,6700
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 12019
API ID 15017492
Gamdom ID -
Torneo ATP Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 12019,
    "api_id": 15017492,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "player2": "Alex de Minaur",
    "tournament": "ATP Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-11-09T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 16.32,
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      "wr_surface": 86.04651162790698,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.89,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "points_diff": 7970,
    "best_rank_diff": 5,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.138992305783077,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7653061224489796,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_p1": 82.73255813953489,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.56659619450316,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 79.74683544303798,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.6078431372549,
    "p1_surface_matches": 75,
    "p2_surface_matches": 98,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.6266666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.1664303911205,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.2828520084566577,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.9954603594080353,
    "bp_saved_diff": -0.2813288847780129,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.3336653012685034,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.9631831395348831,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.469999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3578732106339468,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8981324278438031,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5238095238095238,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6071428571428571,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.125533779245918,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.733028891176666,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.79847751727876,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.32232558139534884,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21066596194503162,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.4299999999999997,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
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}