Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
ATP Finals | Hard |
09 Nov 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carlos … Alex … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 61/75 = 81.3%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 16.07 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 69/98 = 70.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 6.0000
rank_ratio 7.0000
log_rank_ratio 1.9459
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 7915.0000
best_rank_diff 5.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12.1660
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10.1390
surface_matches_ratio 0.7653
surface_tournaments_won_diff 4.0000
surface_wr_p1 82.7326
surface_wr_p2 70.5666
surface_wr_p1_stable 79.7468
surface_wr_p2_stable 69.6078
p1_surface_matches 75.0000
p2_surface_matches 98.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.6267
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4.1664
first_serve_won_diff 3.2829
second_serve_won_diff 1.9955
bp_saved_diff -0.2813
bp_converted_diff 1.3337
aces_per_match_diff 0.9632
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 60.0000
momentum_p2 52.0000
momentum_diff 8.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 14.4700
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 11.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff -2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2.0000
h2h_matches 2.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1.0000
h2h_on_surface 1.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1.0000
h2h_confidence_score 0.4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.3579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.8981
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5238
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6071
serve_consistency_p1 7.1255
serve_consistency_p2 9.7330
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 23.6739
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.3213
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.2117
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.3500
utr_p1 0.9906
utr_p2 0.9494
utr_advantage 2.1545
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 12019
API ID 15017492
Gamdom ID -
Torneo ATP Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
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    "id": 12019,
    "api_id": 15017492,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "player2": "Alex de Minaur",
    "tournament": "ATP Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-11-09T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
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      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
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    },
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    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
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