Mattia Bellucci vs Lucas Pouille
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2025, 19:25
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mattia … Lucas … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking #76
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 12/29 = 41,4%
Lucas Pouille
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking #63
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mattia Bellucci
Sin datos UTR v4
Lucas Pouille
Record 2025 4W - 3L (57%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 14,8
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 424,0000
rank_ratio 6,5789
log_rank_ratio 1,8839
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 758,0000
best_rank_diff 437,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -13,4415
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,2727
surface_matches_ratio 1,8824
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8760
surface_wr_p2 60,3175
surface_wr_p1_stable 54,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 67,2727
p1_surface_matches 96,0000
p2_surface_matches 51,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0833
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,9375
first_serve_won_diff -4,8042
second_serve_won_diff -0,6012
bp_saved_diff -8,2138
bp_converted_diff -7,3082
aces_per_match_diff -0,6775
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1667
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 42,8571
momentum_p2 22,2222
momentum_diff 20,6349
weighted_momentum_diff 10,5270
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 20,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 16,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7500
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6970
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 5,9524
serve_consistency_p2 1,4590
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -25,3221
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4552
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,5272
elite_surface_amplifier -26,8830
UTR
utr_diff -0,4400
utr_p1 0,7941
utr_p2 0,8459
utr_advantage -2,9392
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 1202
API ID 13389178
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 1202,
    "api_id": 13389178,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
    "player2": "Lucas Pouille",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2025-01-28T15:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 15.19,
      "utr_ranking": 63,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 4,
      "utr_v4_losses": 3,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 14.81,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.99,
          "opponent_name": "Arthur Bouquier"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 15.44,
          "opponent_name": "Valentin Royer"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.78,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Blockx"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.5,
          "opponent_name": "Hugo GRENIER"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.06,
          "opponent_name": "Clement Chidekh"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:25.034387+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.19,
      "ranking": 63,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 424,
    "rank_ratio": 6.578947368421052,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8838747581358606,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "points_diff": 758,
    "best_rank_diff": 437,
    "surface_wr_diff": -13.441495314886978,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.272727272727266,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.8823529411764706,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.87596500257334,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.317460317460316,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.27272727272727,
    "p1_surface_matches": 96,
    "p2_surface_matches": 51,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -3.937523842201145,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -4.804178859397581,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.6011565326078951,
    "bp_saved_diff": -8.21382079749037,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.308226600985222,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.6775437263599908,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
    "momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
    "momentum_diff": 20.634920634920636,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 10.526984126984125,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.75,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.696969696969697,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.952380952380956,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.4590113764674495,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -25.32209373531701,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.45524034997426666,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.5271746031746032,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -26.882990629773957,
    "utr_diff": -0.4399999999999995,
    "utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
    "utr_advantage": -2.9392117568470244,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}