Mattia Bellucci vs Lucas Pouille
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 32
28 Ene 2025, 19:25
28 Ene 2025, 19:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Lucas … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41,4%
Lucas Pouille
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
15,19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#63
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
5/9 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mattia Bellucci
Sin datos UTR v4
Lucas Pouille
Record 2025
4W - 3L (57%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
14,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 424,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,5789 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8839 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 758,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 437,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -13,4415 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,2727 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,8824 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,8760 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,3175 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 67,2727 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 96,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,9375 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4,8042 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,6012 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,2138 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,3082 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,6775 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,2222 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,6349 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10,5270 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 16,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6970 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9524 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,4590 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -25,3221 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4552 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,5272 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -26,8830 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8459 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,9392 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1202
API ID
13389178
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1202,
"api_id": 13389178,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Lucas Pouille",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-01-28T15:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 63,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 4,
"utr_v4_losses": 3,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 14.81,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.99,
"opponent_name": "Arthur Bouquier"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 15.44,
"opponent_name": "Valentin Royer"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.78,
"opponent_name": "Alexander Blockx"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.5,
"opponent_name": "Hugo GRENIER"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 14.06,
"opponent_name": "Clement Chidekh"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:25.034387+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.19,
"ranking": 63,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 424,
"rank_ratio": 6.578947368421052,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8838747581358606,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 758,
"best_rank_diff": 437,
"surface_wr_diff": -13.441495314886978,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.272727272727266,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.8823529411764706,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.87596500257334,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.317460317460316,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.27272727272727,
"p1_surface_matches": 96,
"p2_surface_matches": 51,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.937523842201145,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.804178859397581,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.6011565326078951,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.21382079749037,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.308226600985222,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6775437263599908,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
"momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_diff": 20.634920634920636,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.526984126984125,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.75,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.696969696969697,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.952380952380956,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.4590113764674495,
"surface_rank_synergy": -25.32209373531701,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.45524034997426666,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.5271746031746032,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -26.882990629773957,
"utr_diff": -0.4399999999999995,
"utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_advantage": -2.9392117568470244,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}