Andrea Collarini vs Mariano Kestelboim
Montevideo, Uruguay | Clay | Qualification Final
10 Nov 2025, 22:05
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Andrea … Mariano … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Andrea Collarini
Ranking #233
UTR Rating 14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking #253
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 32/56 = 57,1%
Mariano Kestelboim
Ranking #413
UTR Rating 13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #528
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 22/39 = 56,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 180,0000
rank_ratio 1,7725
log_rank_ratio 0,5724
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 132,0000
best_rank_diff 210,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,7128
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,3785
surface_matches_ratio 1,7344
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 58,0000
surface_wr_p2 56,2872
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,2609
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,8824
p1_surface_matches 111,0000
p2_surface_matches 64,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1712
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,3195
first_serve_won_diff 5,5400
second_serve_won_diff 4,4600
bp_saved_diff 2,1400
bp_converted_diff 3,9500
aces_per_match_diff 0,1058
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -14,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -9,7500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5357
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4615
serve_consistency_p1 8,6680
serve_consistency_p2 10,0280
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,9804
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2429
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5100
utr_p1 0,7365
utr_p2 0,6765
utr_advantage 3,6416
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 12068
API ID 15026064
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Montevideo, Uruguay
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 12068,
    "api_id": 15026064,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Andrea Collarini",
    "player2": "Mariano Kestelboim",
    "tournament": "Montevideo, Uruguay",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2025-11-10T18:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 14.26,
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      "wr_surface_total": 56,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 13.75,
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      "utr_pro": true,
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      "wr_surface": 56.41025641025641,
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      "wr_surface_total": 39,
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  },
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    "surface_wr_p2": 56.287179487179486,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.26086956521739,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.88235294117647,
    "p1_surface_matches": 111,
    "p2_surface_matches": 64,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.17117117117117117,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 4.319538461538464,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.539999999999992,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.460000000000001,
    "bp_saved_diff": 2.1400000000000006,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.950000000000003,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.10576923076923084,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "momentum_diff": -14.000000000000007,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.75,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "match_load_p1": 1,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5357142857142857,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46153846153846156,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.667992300200142,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.9804341156822579,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.5099999999999998,
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    "utr_advantage": 3.6415565869332367,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
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    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
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    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
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    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
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}