Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
ATP Finals | Hard | Semifinals
15 Nov 2025, 23:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carlos … Felix … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 37/43 = 86,0%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 15,92 Pro
UTR Ranking #5
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 37/52 = 71,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 7,0000
rank_ratio 8,0000
log_rank_ratio 2,0794
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 8060,0000
best_rank_diff 4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,5915
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 18,3011
surface_matches_ratio 0,9494
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 82,7326
surface_wr_p2 63,1410
surface_wr_p1_stable 79,7468
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,4458
p1_surface_matches 75,0000
p2_surface_matches 79,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,6267
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,7886
first_serve_won_diff 1,5041
second_serve_won_diff 3,6967
bp_saved_diff -2,7502
bp_converted_diff 6,9522
aces_per_match_diff -3,8248
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,3579
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9496
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5238
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6111
serve_consistency_p1 7,8896
serve_consistency_p2 7,2961
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 40,7394
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3203
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1384
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4000
utr_p1 0,9788
utr_p2 0,9318
utr_advantage 2,4814
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 12118
API ID 15104536
Gamdom ID -
Torneo ATP Finals
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 12118,
    "api_id": 15104536,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "player2": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
    "tournament": "ATP Finals",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-11-15T19:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 1,
      "utr_singles": 16.32,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 86.04651162790698,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 43,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 15.92,
      "utr_ranking": 5,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.15384615384616,
      "wr_surface_wins": 37,
      "wr_surface_total": 52,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 16.32,
      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.92,
      "ranking": 5,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 7,
    "rank_ratio": 8.0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.0794415416798357,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 8060,
    "best_rank_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.591532498509252,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 18.301052310507863,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9493670886075949,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 82.73255813953489,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.141025641025635,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 79.74683544303798,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.44578313253012,
    "p1_surface_matches": 75,
    "p2_surface_matches": 79,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.6266666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.788604328165391,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.5040816935002823,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.6967106440071618,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.750194481713372,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.952173586265154,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.824829184058836,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "momentum_diff": 20.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3578732106339468,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9495967741935484,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5238095238095238,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.889581027782491,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.296119767910582,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 40.73944654257068,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.32032558139534884,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1384102564102564,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.40000000000000036,
    "utr_p1": 0.9788235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.9317647058823529,
    "utr_advantage": 2.481389578163774,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}