Yosuke Watanuki vs Elias Ymer
Kobe, Japan | Hard | Final
16 Nov 2025, 08:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yosuke … Elias … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yosuke Watanuki
Ranking #162
UTR Rating 14,42 Pro
UTR Ranking #195
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/45 = 53,3%
Elias Ymer
Ranking #175
UTR Rating 14,20 Pro
UTR Ranking #284
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 18/28 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 13,0000
rank_ratio 1,0802
log_rank_ratio 0,0772
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 27,0000
best_rank_diff 33,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -3,0952
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,6034
surface_matches_ratio 1,0476
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,0476
surface_wr_p2 56,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,8571
surface_wr_p2_stable 49,2537
p1_surface_matches 66,0000
p2_surface_matches 63,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0606
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,4052
first_serve_won_diff 3,1158
second_serve_won_diff 3,6624
bp_saved_diff -3,2549
bp_converted_diff -4,0353
aces_per_match_diff 2,3743
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,3500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9375
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4000
serve_consistency_p1 12,9831
serve_consistency_p2 6,6066
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,2389
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0175
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0744
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2200
utr_p1 0,7553
utr_p2 0,7294
utr_advantage 1,5374
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 12119
API ID 15011882
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Kobe, Japan
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 12119,
    "api_id": 15011882,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Yosuke Watanuki",
    "player2": "Elias Ymer",
    "tournament": "Kobe, Japan",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-11-16T04:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 162,
      "utr_singles": 14.42,
      "utr_ranking": 195,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 175,
      "utr_singles": 14.2,
      "utr_ranking": 284,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.42,
      "ranking": 195,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.2,
      "ranking": 284,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 13,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0802469135802468,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0771896386911299,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 27,
    "best_rank_diff": 33,
    "surface_wr_diff": -3.095238095238095,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.603411513859278,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0476190476190477,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.04761904761905,
    "surface_wr_p2": 56.142857142857146,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.85714285714286,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 49.25373134328358,
    "p1_surface_matches": 66,
    "p2_surface_matches": 63,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06060606060606061,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.405195238095239,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.115809523809517,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.6623968253968258,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.25492063492063,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.035349206349196,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.3742857142857137,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.3499999999999943,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9375,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.983115577397776,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.606591470596361,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.23892031023444965,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.017476190476190534,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07442857142857151,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": 0.22000000000000064,
    "utr_p1": 0.7552941176470588,
    "utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5373864430468251,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}