Varvara Lepchenko vs Maja Chwalinska
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Round of 16
26 Nov 2025, 15:00
26 Nov 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Varvara … | Maja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Varvara Lepchenko
Ranking
#143
UTR Rating
11.58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#214
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
25/45 = 55.6%
Maja Chwalinska
Ranking
#149
UTR Rating
12.07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
20/30 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 6.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0420 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0411 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 17.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 102.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10.7843 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9.6038 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.8824 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55.1020 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64.7059 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.5087 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.3200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.9800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.1600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12.4700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.5814 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14.3490 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5556 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.2388 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.4422 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.4433 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0528 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1727 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4788 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.1438 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
12252
API ID
15126927
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"id": 12252,
"api_id": 15126927,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Varvara Lepchenko",
"player2": "Maja Chwalinska",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-11-26T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.58,
"utr_ranking": 214,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
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},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": 17,
"best_rank_diff": 102,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.784313725490193,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.603841536614652,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
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"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.10204081632652,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.5087450980392205,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.3200000000000074,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.97999999999999,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.1599999999999966,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.469999999999992,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.581372549019608,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -18.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.349000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5555555555555556,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.238763103490887,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.442184247691877,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.4432533652363426,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0528235294117646,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17266666666666652,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4900000000000002,
"utr_p1": 0.4211764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.47882352941176476,
"utr_advantage": -4.143763213530657,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}