Miguel Damas vs Lilian Marmousez
Maia, Portugal | Clay | Round of 16
27 Nov 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Miguel … Lilian … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miguel Damas
Ranking #324
UTR Rating 14,28 Pro
UTR Ranking #243
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (6p)
WR Clay 8/15 = 53,3%
Lilian Marmousez
Ranking #314
UTR Rating 14,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #333
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Clay 9/15 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -10,0000
rank_ratio 0,9691
log_rank_ratio -0,0314
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -8,0000
best_rank_diff -11,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,3095
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,9078
surface_matches_ratio 1,5263
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,1905
surface_wr_p2 64,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,4848
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,8696
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0345
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -3,4101
first_serve_won_diff -3,9400
second_serve_won_diff -2,0400
bp_saved_diff 2,9500
bp_converted_diff 3,0100
aces_per_match_diff -0,4140
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 90,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -14,0500
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 2,6506
serve_consistency_p2 8,0022
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4486
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0119
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1350
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,1800
utr_p1 0,7388
utr_p2 0,7176
utr_advantage 1,2685
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 12263
API ID 15122414
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Maia, Portugal
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 12263,
    "api_id": 15122414,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Miguel Damas",
    "player2": "Lilian Marmousez",
    "tournament": "Maia, Portugal",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-11-27T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
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    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.034482758620689655,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
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    "serve_quality_diff": -3.410095238095245,
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    "momentum_diff": -21.999999999999986,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
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    "points_diff": "0.0137",
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