Jan Choinski vs Daniel Merida
Maia, Portugal | Clay | Quarterfinals
28 Nov 2025, 17:00
28 Nov 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jan … | Daniel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jan Choinski
Ranking
#124
UTR Rating
14,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#147
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
19/30 = 63,3%
Daniel Merida
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
14,00 General
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
14/24 = 58,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 40,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3226 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,2796 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 145,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 40,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 8,8684 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9,7470 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6279 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,4649 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8108 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51,0638 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 70,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,0299 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,4600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,5700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,4100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,4500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1854 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,4800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3571 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,8404 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,5140 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,4795 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0833 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0746 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,1273 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
12272
API ID
15122411
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Maia, Portugal
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 12272,
"api_id": 15122411,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jan Choinski",
"player2": "Daniel Merida",
"tournament": "Maia, Portugal",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-11-28T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 124,
"utr_singles": 14.59,
"utr_ranking": 147,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.59,
"ranking": 147,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.0,
"ranking": 216,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.3225806451612903,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2795848622191615,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 145,
"best_rank_diff": 40,
"surface_wr_diff": 8.868421052631575,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.746981023576772,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.627906976744186,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.46491228070175,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.810810810810814,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.06382978723404,
"p1_surface_matches": 70,
"p2_surface_matches": 43,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22857142857142856,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.029877192982447,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.459999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.5700000000000074,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.409999999999997,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.450000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.185438596491228,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.480000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35714285714285715,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.8404339571342385,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.51404880918131,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.4794762781015103,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08333333333333326,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07464912280701752,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.5899999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.7752941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.7058823529411765,
"utr_advantage": 4.127317243791535,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}