Lilian Marmousez vs Filip Cristian Jianu
Maia, Portugal | Clay | Quarterfinals
28 Nov 2025, 14:00
28 Nov 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lilian … | Filip … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lilian Marmousez
Ranking
#307
UTR Rating
14.12 Pro
UTR Ranking
#324
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Clay
12/19 = 63.2%
Filip Cristian Jianu
Ranking
#279
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
38/77 = 49.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -28.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.9088 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.0956 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -25.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -96.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15.9575 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9.3809 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.2468 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.5425 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 49.3827 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 77.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.3314 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.6300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7.3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.1400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6.2100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.4132 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13.5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.5306 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.8940 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.5261 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0426 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7200 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7200 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
12273
API ID
15122408
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Maia, Portugal
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 12273,
"api_id": 15122408,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lilian Marmousez",
"player2": "Filip Cristian Jianu",
"tournament": "Maia, Portugal",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-11-28T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.12,
"utr_ranking": 324,
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"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
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"wr_surface": 49.35064935064935,
"wr_surface_wins": 38,
"wr_surface_total": 77,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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},
"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -96,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
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"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
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"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 77,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.331356275303648,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.6300000000000097,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.299999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.14000000000000057,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.210000000000008,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.413178137651822,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.5,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.530646389159667,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.89398130283047,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.5261099557328959,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17300000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0425748987854252,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.7199999999999999,
"utr_p2": 0.7199999999999999,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}