Daniel Merida vs Elmer Moller
Maia, Portugal | Clay | Semifinals
29 Nov 2025, 17:00
29 Nov 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniel … | Elmer … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniel Merida
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
14,00 General
UTR Ranking
#216
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
14/24 = 58,3%
Elmer Moller
Ranking
#119
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Clay
24/39 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7256 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3207 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -164,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -61,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,2002 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,8298 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4778 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,4649 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,6652 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,0638 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,8936 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 43,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 90,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0233 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,2037 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,7300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,5400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4,0100 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,1800 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4466 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,2460 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5357 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,3358 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,0609 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,2717 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0796 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0917 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7059 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
12280
API ID
15122407
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Maia, Portugal
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 12280,
"api_id": 15122407,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daniel Merida",
"player2": "Elmer Moller",
"tournament": "Maia, Portugal",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-11-29T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 14.0,
"utr_ranking": 216,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 119,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.0,
"ranking": 216,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -45,
"rank_ratio": 0.725609756097561,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.32074293471266907,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -164,
"best_rank_diff": -61,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.200246090338965,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.829787234042556,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4777777777777778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.46491228070175,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.66515837104072,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.06382978723404,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.8936170212766,
"p1_surface_matches": 43,
"p2_surface_matches": 90,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.023255813953488372,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.2037396999285619,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.7299999999999898,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.540000000000006,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.009999999999998,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.18,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4466301500357224,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.245999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5357142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.335823681622049,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.0609081366535946,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.2716568658067486,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07964912280701753,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09165158371040716,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.7058823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.7058823529411765,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}