Martina Colmegna vs Marie Elise Casares
WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Dic 2025, 19:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Martina … Marie … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Martina Colmegna
Ranking #373
UTR Rating 11,12 Pro
UTR Ranking #430
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 0/2 = 0,0%
Marie Elise Casares
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #2684
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Clay 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Martina Colmegna
Sin datos UTR v4
Marie Elise Casares
Record 2025 6W - 3L (67%)
Racha 4L
UTR Oponentes 7,8
Últimos 5:
L L L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 127,0000
rank_ratio 1,3405
log_rank_ratio 0,2930
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 167,0000
best_rank_diff 153,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,0133
surface_matches_ratio 6,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 15,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 30,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 6,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3800
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3467
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 44,0520
first_serve_won_diff 59,5800
second_serve_won_diff 47,0400
bp_saved_diff 50,8800
bp_converted_diff 29,6000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0750
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,6150
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 14,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0134
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,3954
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4770
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3730
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,1200
utr_p1 0,3671
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 21,0736
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 12305
API ID 15167034
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles
Superficie Clay
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 12305,
    "api_id": 15167034,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Martina Colmegna",
    "player2": "Marie Elise Casares",
    "tournament": "WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2025-12-01T15:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 373,
      "utr_singles": 11.12,
      "utr_ranking": 430,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2684,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 6,
      "utr_v4_losses": 3,
      "utr_v4_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 7.8,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.96,
          "opponent_name": "Martina Colmegna"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "DANIEL ALEJANDRO RUBIO FLORES"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Cristopher Loor"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Benjamin Bernard"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Erick Toala"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:36.469097+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.12,
      "ranking": 430,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 2684,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 127,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3404825737265416,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.2930296787783762,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": 167,
    "best_rank_diff": 153,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.0,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.013333333333334,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 6.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 15.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 6,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 0.38,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3466666666666667,
    "serve_quality_diff": 44.052,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 59.58,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 47.04,
    "bp_saved_diff": 50.879999999999995,
    "bp_converted_diff": 29.599999999999998,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.075,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999996,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.615000000000002,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.0134015033129975,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.395445181675643,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.477,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.373,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": 2.119999999999999,
    "utr_p1": 0.36705882352941166,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_advantage": 21.073558648111327,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}