Valeriya Strakhova vs Tania Varela-Alvarado
WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles | Clay | Qualification Round 1
01 Dec 2025, 15:00
01 Dec 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Valeriya … | Tania … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Valeriya Strakhova
Ranking
#385
UTR Rating
10.48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#756
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
0% (10p)
WR Clay
5/16 = 31.3%
Tania Varela-Alvarado
Ranking
#-
UTR Ranking
#6440 General
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Clay
0/2 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Valeriya Strakhova
Sin datos UTR v4
Tania Varela-Alvarado
Record 2025
0W - 2L (0%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
11.3
Últimos 5:
L
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 115.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2987 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.2614 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 157.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 269.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23.3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12.1833 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 8.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 23.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 6.6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.3750 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.4300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 39.8480 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 48.1600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 48.5600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 39.1500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 48.9500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.6000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -24.4300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.6604 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6.0985 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.3817 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.3850 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.3067 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.2918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3278 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.8841 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
12306
API ID
15167033
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 12306,
"api_id": 15167033,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Valeriya Strakhova",
"player2": "Tania Varela-Alvarado",
"tournament": "WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-12-01T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 385,
"utr_singles": 10.48,
"utr_ranking": 756,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 31.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": 6440,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 0,
"utr_v4_losses": 2,
"utr_v4_wr": 0.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.28,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.07,
"opponent_name": "Maja Chwalinska"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.48,
"opponent_name": "Valeriya Strakhova"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:43.804077+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.48,
"ranking": 756,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": 6440,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 115,
"rank_ratio": 1.2987012987012987,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.2613647641344075,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 157,
"best_rank_diff": 269,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.183333333333334,
"surface_matches_ratio": 8.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 23.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.375,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.43,
"serve_quality_diff": 39.848,
"first_serve_won_diff": 48.16,
"second_serve_won_diff": 48.56,
"bp_saved_diff": 39.15,
"bp_converted_diff": 48.95,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -24.430000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.660404207674207,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.098511163136174,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.3816666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.385,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.30667119896028083,
"utr_p1": 0.291764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.32784367046591545,
"utr_advantage": -2.8840545479940825,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.5
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}