Mattia Bellucci vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Montpellier | Hard | Round of 16
30 Ene 2025, 19:40
30 Ene 2025, 19:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mattia … | Aleksandar … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking
#76
UTR Rating
14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
12/29 = 41,4%
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
14,80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#127
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
24/46 = 52,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7368 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3054 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -206,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4,3124 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,4737 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0549 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,8760 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 51,1884 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,5263 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 96,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 91,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,3686 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,3997 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,1390 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,0144 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,3968 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,5052 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -25,3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -23,3500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0882 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4510 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9011 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,0839 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,3169 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0112 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0081 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8000 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,3384 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1231
API ID
13372771
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Montpellier
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1231,
"api_id": 13372771,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mattia Bellucci",
"player2": "Aleksandar Kovacevic",
"tournament": "Montpellier",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-01-30T15:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 76,
"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 14.8,
"utr_ranking": 127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.17391304347826,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.75,
"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.8,
"ranking": 127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -20,
"rank_ratio": 0.7368421052631579,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3053816495511819,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -206,
"best_rank_diff": -9,
"surface_wr_diff": -4.312440794528108,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.473684210526315,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.054945054945055,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.87596500257334,
"surface_wr_p2": 51.188405797101446,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.526315789473685,
"p1_surface_matches": 96,
"p2_surface_matches": 91,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.08333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.368617976086583,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.39968196498765,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1389552686343407,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.014435931288091,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.3968145927036488,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.50523178709153,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.13333333333333341,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": -25.33333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -23.349999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.75,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.088235294117647,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.45098039215686275,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.901126719479777,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.0838511807580806,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.3169402834248032,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.011240349974266595,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.008115942028985579,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.05000000000000071,
"utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.8,
"utr_advantage": -0.33840947546531785,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}