Elvina Kalieva vs Polona Hercog
WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles | Clay | Quarterfinals
05 Dic 2025, 20:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elvina … Polona … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 101,00 1,00 1,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elvina Kalieva
Ranking #207
UTR Rating 11,52 Pro
UTR Ranking #259
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 1/2 = 50,0%
Polona Hercog
Ranking #315
UTR Rating 11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #160
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 109,0000
rank_ratio 1,5291
log_rank_ratio 0,4247
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 152,0000
best_rank_diff -133,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 12,5000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,5333
surface_matches_ratio 1,0909
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 37,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 40,0000
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,4533
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,5170
first_serve_won_diff 0,0300
second_serve_won_diff -2,5600
bp_saved_diff 4,1000
bp_converted_diff 23,7600
aces_per_match_diff 2,6350
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,5740
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 13,6395
serve_consistency_p2 7,3163
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,3087
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1090
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0160
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2700
utr_p1 0,4141
utr_p2 0,4459
utr_advantage -2,3166
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 12344
API ID 15150369
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 12344,
    "api_id": 15150369,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Elvina Kalieva",
    "player2": "Polona Hercog",
    "tournament": "WTA 125k Quito, Ecuador Women Singles",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-12-05T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 101.0,
      "p2": 1.001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 11.52,
      "utr_ranking": 259,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 315,
      "utr_singles": 11.79,
      "utr_ranking": 160,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 160,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "best_rank_diff": -133,
    "surface_wr_diff": 12.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.533333333333333,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0909090909090908,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.45333333333333337,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.516999999999996,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.030000000000001137,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.5600000000000023,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.100000000000001,
    "bp_converted_diff": 23.760000000000005,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.635,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.573999999999998,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 13.639493916828258,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.316310031282106,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.3087058754506495,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10899999999999999,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.016000000000000014,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.2699999999999996,
    "utr_p1": 0.4141176470588235,
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    "utr_advantage": -2.316602316602313,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
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}