Jesper De Jong vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Montpellier | Hard | Semifinals
01 Feb 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jesper … Felix … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jesper De Jong
Ranking #76
UTR Rating 15.16 Pro
UTR Ranking #91
Forma L5 75% (4p)
Forma L10 75% (4p)
WR Hard 26/47 = 55.3%
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ranking #5
UTR Rating 16.09 Pro
UTR Ranking #6
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 88% (8p)
WR Hard 49/79 = 62.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -71.0000
rank_ratio 0.0658
log_rank_ratio -2.7213
rank_tier_advantage -3.0000
points_diff -3482.0000
best_rank_diff -71.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -10.1410
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6.5438
surface_matches_ratio 0.5949
surface_tournaments_won_diff -3.0000
surface_wr_p1 53.0000
surface_wr_p2 63.1410
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.9020
surface_wr_p2_stable 61.4458
p1_surface_matches 47.0000
p2_surface_matches 79.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1064
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 1.0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5.8919
first_serve_won_diff -1.7243
second_serve_won_diff -5.4389
bp_saved_diff -5.1703
bp_converted_diff -0.5208
aces_per_match_diff -1.6991
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.0500
last3_wr_diff 0.3333
momentum_p1 91.8367
momentum_p2 80.0000
momentum_diff 11.8367
weighted_momentum_diff 4.7300
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.9000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.9496
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.5517
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6111
serve_consistency_p1 7.0506
serve_consistency_p2 7.7537
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 27.5967
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1010
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0604
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.9300
utr_p1 0.8424
utr_p2 0.9518
utr_advantage -5.9520
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 1284
API ID 13372779
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Montpellier
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 1284,
    "api_id": 13372779,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jesper De Jong",
    "player2": "Felix Auger-Aliassime",
    "tournament": "Montpellier",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-02-01T14:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.16,
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      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 16.09,
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      "wr_surface": 62.0253164556962,
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      "wr_surface_total": 79,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 87.5,
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      "form_l10_matches": 8
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  },
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 63.141025641025635,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.90196078431373,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.44578313253012,
    "p1_surface_matches": 47,
    "p2_surface_matches": 79,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.10638297872340426,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.89193171717173,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.724271794871811,
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    "bp_saved_diff": -5.170303651903637,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.5208435120435126,
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    "momentum_p1": 91.83673469387755,
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    "momentum_diff": 11.836734693877546,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.72999999999999,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
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    "match_load_p1": 3,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9495967741935484,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5517241379310345,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6111111111111112,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
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    "utr_advantage": -5.951999999999998,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
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    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
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    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
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    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
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    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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}