Alex de Minaur vs Mattia Bellucci
Rotterdam | Hard | Semifinals
08 Feb 2025, 18:10
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alex … Mattia … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 88% (8p)
WR Hard 39/55 = 70,9%
Mattia Bellucci
Ranking #76
UTR Rating 14,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 78% (9p)
WR Hard 12/29 = 41,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 70,0000
rank_ratio 12,6667
log_rank_ratio 2,5390
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 3322,0000
best_rank_diff 57,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 23,6906
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,6078
surface_matches_ratio 1,0208
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 70,5666
surface_wr_p2 46,8760
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,6078
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,0000
p1_surface_matches 98,0000
p2_surface_matches 96,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4082
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,6496
first_serve_won_diff 3,0112
second_serve_won_diff 4,9250
bp_saved_diff -3,5676
bp_converted_diff 8,4525
aces_per_match_diff -1,1668
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 7,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8981
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7500
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6071
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 6,6052
serve_consistency_p2 3,2049
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 60,1499
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1357
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0388
elite_surface_amplifier 71,0719
UTR
utr_diff 1,1400
utr_p1 0,9282
utr_p2 0,7941
utr_advantage 7,4413
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 1556
API ID 13400990
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rotterdam
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 1556,
    "api_id": 13400990,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alex de Minaur",
    "player2": "Mattia Bellucci",
    "tournament": "Rotterdam",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-02-08T14:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.89,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.9090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 55,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 87.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 76,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.37931034482759,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 12.666666666666666,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.538973871058276,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "points_diff": 3322,
    "best_rank_diff": 57,
    "surface_wr_diff": 23.690631191929825,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.607843137254903,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0208333333333333,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_p1": 70.56659619450316,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.87596500257334,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.6078431372549,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 98,
    "p2_surface_matches": 96,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.40816326530612246,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.6496161070422488,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.0112327202654114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.925044179844377,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.567578376978574,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.452479696726684,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1667567535218843,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 7,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8981324278438031,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.75,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6071428571428571,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.605218584270734,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.2048681541582136,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 60.14989358518801,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13566596194503155,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03875965002573345,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 71.07189357578947,
    "utr_diff": 1.1400000000000006,
    "utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
    "utr_p2": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_advantage": 7.4412532637075754,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}