Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia Potapova
Doha | Hard | Round of 64
10 Feb 2025, 11:00
10 Feb 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
35/64 = 54.7%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
33/58 = 56.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 13.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.3514 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.3011 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 203.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6.2939 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2.0398 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1034 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51.2923 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57.5862 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.4118 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.4516 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 64.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 58.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0938 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3.2454 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.4586 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.7080 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.2442 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5.4834 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.4019 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -70.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -43.8500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -7.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -7.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6181 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6340 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.5123 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.6381 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.8951 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0001 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0889 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0820 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
1612
API ID
13446671
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Doha
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 1612,
"api_id": 13446671,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daria Kasatkina",
"player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
"tournament": "Doha",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-02-10T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.2,
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"wr_surface": 54.6875,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 64,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.19,
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"wr_surface": 56.896551724137936,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": 13,
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"p1_surface_matches": 64,
"p2_surface_matches": 58,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09375,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.2454350132626004,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.45862068965517,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7080371352785164,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.2441644562334275,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.483421750663133,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.4018567639257298,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -69.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -43.849999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": -7,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 8,
"match_load_diff": -7,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6181229773462783,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6340425531914894,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.512286143922291,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.638071998218471,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.8951251038665484,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 7.692307692308553e-05,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08886206896551718,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
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"utr_advantage": 0.08200082000819833,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
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"utr_p2": "0.0123",
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}