Daria Kasatkina vs Polina Kudermetova
Doha | Hard | Round of 64
10 Feb 2025, 12:30
10 Feb 2025, 12:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daria … | Polina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
35/64 = 54.7%
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#104
UTR Rating
11.57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#213
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
31/60 = 51.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 67.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.8108 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.0335 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 575.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 46.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.4923 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.8493 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51.2923 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50.8000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.4118 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.5625 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 64.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 60.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0938 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5.4304 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.1636 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.0913 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.2509 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.9177 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.6606 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1.8200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6181 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7468 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.5123 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.3907 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.5088 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0541 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0750 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.9846 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.6300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4200 | |
| utr_advantage | 5.3008 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
1666
API ID
13451363
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Doha
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 1666,
"api_id": 13451363,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daria Kasatkina",
"player2": "Polina Kudermetova",
"tournament": "Doha",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-02-10T12:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.2,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 54.6875,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 64,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 11.57,
"utr_ranking": 213,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 51.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 60,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 575,
"best_rank_diff": 46,
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"p1_surface_matches": 64,
"p2_surface_matches": 60,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09375,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.4304184615384585,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.163599999999995,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.09129230769231356,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.2509230769230726,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.9177230769230675,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.6606153846153848,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999996,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.8199999999999932,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6181229773462783,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7468354430379747,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 5.512286143922291,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.390711389544807,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.5087867010447481,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.05407692307692302,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07499999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.9846153846153811,
"utr_diff": 0.629999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.49411764705882344,
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"utr_advantage": 5.300799326882617,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
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"utr_p2": "0.0123",
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}