Kei Nishikori vs Mackenzie McDonald
Delray Beach | Hard | Round of 32
11 Feb 2025, 23:00
11 Feb 2025, 23:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kei … | Mackenzie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kei Nishikori
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
15.21 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Hard
25/40 = 62.5%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14.86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
42/74 = 56.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -44.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.7179 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.3314 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -162.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 33.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4.7835 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.9534 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5405 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60.5263 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55.7428 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61.3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.4103 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8.2345 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.9210 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.8104 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.7358 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.8091 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.9654 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55.5556 | |
| momentum_diff | -33.5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21.0944 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 33.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1279 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5725 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4643 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.4245 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2.3618 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1.5851 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1493 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0134 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8071 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.3279 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1708
API ID
13450124
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Delray Beach
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 1708,
"api_id": 13450124,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Kei Nishikori",
"player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"tournament": "Delray Beach",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-02-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.21,
"utr_ranking": 84,
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"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.86,
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"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 42,
"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
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"points_diff": -162,
"best_rank_diff": 33,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.234533117716687,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.9210252904989744,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.810411283196906,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.7357694680159526,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.80907307070337,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.9654485437540634,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2666666666666666,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_diff": -33.55555555555556,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.09444444444444,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 33,
"match_load_p1": 1,
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"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.127906976744186,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5725190839694656,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4642857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.424454012173976,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.3618297706597033,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.5850541489990175,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14926315789473688,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.013427937915742816,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.3500000000000014,
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"utr_advantage": 2.3279015630196302,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
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}