Kei Nishikori vs Mackenzie McDonald
Delray Beach | Hard | Round of 32
12 Feb 2025, 03:00
12 Feb 2025, 03:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Kei … | Mackenzie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kei Nishikori
Ranking
#240
UTR Rating
14,68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Hard
11/19 = 57,9%
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#113
UTR Rating
14,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
22/41 = 53,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -127,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4708 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7533 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -314,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 33,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 4,7835 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,9534 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5405 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,5263 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 55,7428 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,4103 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 74,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -8,2345 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,9210 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,8104 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,7358 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,8091 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,9654 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 55,5556 | |
| momentum_diff | -33,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21,2984 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 33,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1279 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5725 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4643 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,4245 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,3618 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,6032 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2323 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0696 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7859 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7953 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,5435 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1708
API ID
13450124
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Delray Beach
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1708,
"api_id": 13450124,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Kei Nishikori",
"player2": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"tournament": "Delray Beach",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-02-11T23:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 240,
"utr_singles": 14.68,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 113,
"utr_singles": 14.76,
"utr_ranking": 110,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.65853658536586,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 110,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.4708333333333333,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7532511046296507,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -314,
"best_rank_diff": 33,
"surface_wr_diff": 4.783521997899399,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.953379953379958,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5405405405405406,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.526315789473685,
"surface_wr_p2": 55.742793791574286,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.41025641025641,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 74,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -8.234533117716687,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.9210252904989744,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.810411283196906,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.7357694680159526,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.80907307070337,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.9654485437540634,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.2666666666666666,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_diff": -33.55555555555556,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.298444444444442,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 33,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.127906976744186,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5725190839694656,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.16666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4642857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.424454012173976,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.3618297706597033,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.6031932289379562,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.23226315789473684,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06957206208425715,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.08000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.7858823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.7952941176470588,
"utr_advantage": -0.5434782608695657,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}