Liudmila Samsonova vs Jelena Ostapenko
Doha | Hard | Round of 32
11 Feb 2025, 12:20
11 Feb 2025, 12:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Liudmila … | Jelena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Liudmila Samsonova
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
12.38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#30
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Hard
26/54 = 48.1%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
12.10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
28/52 = 53.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 6.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.3529 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.3023 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 409.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2.1266 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5.2956 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0385 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48.1481 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.0215 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48.2759 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 54.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0370 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.5066 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.6710 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.0855 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.6148 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.4365 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.1728 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9.4450 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6703 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7981 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6154 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5714 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13.8434 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.6923 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.6428 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0245 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0338 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2.1266 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5153 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4824 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.2876 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
1718
API ID
13428276
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Doha
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 1718,
"api_id": 13428276,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Liudmila Samsonova",
"player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"tournament": "Doha",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-02-11T12:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.38,
"utr_ranking": 30,
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"wr_surface": 48.148148148148145,
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"wr_surface_total": 54,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 30,
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.3022808718729337,
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"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.1266427718040646,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0384615384615385,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 54,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.037037037037037035,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.506648745519719,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.6709677419354847,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0854838709677495,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.6148387096774215,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.4364516129032268,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.17275985663082505,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 6.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.445000000000007,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6703296703296703,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7981220657276995,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6153846153846154,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.843405655850349,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.692300005836366,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.642843431223205,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.02451851851851855,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.0337849462365592,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.1266427718040646,
"utr_diff": 0.28000000000000114,
"utr_p1": 0.5152941176470589,
"utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_advantage": 2.2875816993464144,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
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}