Aryna Sabalenka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Doha | Hard | Round of 32
11 Feb 2025, 19:50
11 Feb 2025, 19:50
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Ekaterina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
36/42 = 85,7%
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/40 = 60,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 11,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,3979 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 7615,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,4120 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,7778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2113 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 6,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 83,8636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,4516 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 86,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 71,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,6512 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,2330 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,3893 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,7310 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,9994 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,9215 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,7905 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1751 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,2214 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,6569 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 60,9354 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3286 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0945 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 25,4120 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5576 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7892 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1724
API ID
13428250
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Doha
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1724,
"api_id": 13428250,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"tournament": "Doha",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-02-11T15:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 85.71428571428571,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 12.74,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 11.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.3978952727983707,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 7615,
"best_rank_diff": 9,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.412023460410552,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.77777777777778,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2112676056338028,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 6,
"surface_wr_p1": 83.86363636363636,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.45161290322581,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 86,
"p2_surface_matches": 71,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6511627906976745,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.2330361681329407,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.389312072336267,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.7309640762463374,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.9994257086998886,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.921450391006836,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.790454545454546,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -39.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.0,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.862453531598513,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.221373995072437,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.656856408903812,
"surface_rank_synergy": 60.93537092795975,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3286363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09451612903225803,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 25.412023460410552,
"utr_diff": 0.23000000000000043,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5576470588235294,
"utr_advantage": 1.7891870867366815,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}