Ilia Simakin vs Alexis Galarneau
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Round of 16
12 Feb 2025, 09:45
12 Feb 2025, 09:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ilia … | Alexis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ilia Simakin
Ranking
#255
UTR Rating
14.03 Pro
UTR Ranking
#345
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Hard
31/45 = 68.9%
Alexis Galarneau
Ranking
#206
UTR Rating
14.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#281
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
51/90 = 56.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -49.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8078 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.2134 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -71.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -75.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 12.0609 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10.9640 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 4.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68.7879 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56.7270 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67.3469 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.3830 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 90.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3778 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9.8934 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.2483 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.4954 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.1476 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.4559 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3.3103 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_diff | 42.8571 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 31.5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4545 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5161 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.4813 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0.3250 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -2.5736 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2369 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0183 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.1600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7282 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.1339 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1736
API ID
13428184
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 1736,
"api_id": 13428184,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ilia Simakin",
"player2": "Alexis Galarneau",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-12T09:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.03,
"utr_ranking": 345,
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"wr_surface": 68.88888888888889,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.19,
"utr_ranking": 281,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 51,
"wr_surface_total": 90,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -75,
"surface_wr_diff": 12.060880296174417,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 4,
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"surface_wr_p2": 56.726998491704364,
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"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 90,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.37777777777777777,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.8934150555327,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.248340874811461,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.49536130536129974,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.1476031811325882,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.455867269984914,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.310318113259289,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_diff": 42.85714285714285,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 31.5,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.45454545454545453,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5161290322580645,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.481283422459896,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.32500855285665153,
"surface_rank_synergy": -2.573639603099358,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2368787878787879,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.01826998491704357,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.16000000000000014,
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"utr_advantage": -1.1339475549255857,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}