Louisa Chirico vs Maria Carle
Cancun, Mexico | Hard | Round of 32
11 Feb 2025, 21:00
11 Feb 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Louisa … | Maria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Louisa Chirico
Ranking
#176
UTR Rating
11.54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#228
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
6/20 = 30.0%
Maria Carle
Ranking
#152
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (9p)
WR Hard
16/32 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -24.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.8636 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.1466 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -86.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -27.2990 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13.8889 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 21.2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.5490 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 33.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 20.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.4000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.6667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5.5408 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.1541 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.9538 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.5126 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14.2306 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4388 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -37.0700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 35.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 28.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.1111 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1.4555 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.0196 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4.0021 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2635 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0385 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4165 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4165 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
1741
API ID
13452379
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Cancun, Mexico
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1741,
"api_id": 13452379,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Louisa Chirico",
"player2": "Maria Carle",
"tournament": "Cancun, Mexico",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-02-11T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 176,
"utr_singles": 11.54,
"utr_ranking": 228,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 30.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 152,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.54,
"ranking": 228,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8636363636363636,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1466034741918754,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -86,
"best_rank_diff": 13,
"surface_wr_diff": -27.299019607843135,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.888888888888891,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.625,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 21.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 48.549019607843135,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 33.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 20,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.4,
"p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.540754901960781,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.154117647058818,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.953823529411764,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.5126470588235179,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.230588235294114,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4387745098039213,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_diff": -30.000000000000004,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -37.07000000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 35,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 28,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6444444444444445,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.4555468135326493,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.01963090928718,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.002131116541931,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.26349999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.038509803921568664,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.41647058823529404,
"utr_p2": 0.41647058823529404,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0226",
"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0158",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
"match_load_p1": "0.0141",
"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
"match_load_diff": "0.0122",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
"h2h_matches": "0.0092",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0141",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0124",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0143",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0128",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0128",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0119",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0115",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0462",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0143",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0155",
"utr_diff": "0.0228",
"utr_p1": "0.0136",
"utr_p2": "0.0123",
"utr_advantage": "0.0605",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0201",
"utr_available": "0.018"
}
}