Alexander Bublik vs Ugo Humbert
Marseille | Hard | Round of 16
12 Feb 2025, 18:45
12 Feb 2025, 18:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
16.13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
36/66 = 54.5%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
15.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
46/69 = 66.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 26.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.3636 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.2130 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1490.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9.5594 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11.4677 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9565 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.4483 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54.2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65.7534 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8.0215 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.9117 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5.2662 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3.2090 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0.1613 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4.3227 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.3500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 59.1837 | |
| momentum_diff | -11.1837 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19.1814 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 24.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9455 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8261 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3182 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.1135 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.3698 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -11.5958 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0229 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1705 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -9.5594 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9565 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8988 | |
| utr_advantage | 3.0847 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1765
API ID
13428160
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Marseille
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1765,
"api_id": 13428160,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Ugo Humbert",
"tournament": "Marseille",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-12T18:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 16.13,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
"wr_surface_total": 66,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 37,
"utr_singles": 15.64,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 46,
"wr_surface_total": 69,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.13,
"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.64,
"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 26,
"rank_ratio": 3.3636363636363638,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.213022639845854,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1490,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.559386973180068,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.467710371819955,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9565217391304348,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.44827586206895,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.75342465753424,
"p1_surface_matches": 66,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.02151542145593,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.9117346743294945,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.26616666666667,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.2089818007662814,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.16133429118772824,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.322749042145593,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.35,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
"momentum_diff": -11.183673469387749,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.181428571428583,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9454545454545454,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8260869565217391,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.113526993138699,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.369801366171671,
"surface_rank_synergy": -11.595752821514953,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.022888888888888848,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1704827586206895,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -9.559386973180068,
"utr_diff": 0.48999999999999844,
"utr_p1": 0.956470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.8988235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 3.0846710733396185,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}