Alexander Bublik vs Ugo Humbert
Marseille | Hard | Round of 16
12 Feb 2025, 22:45
12 Feb 2025, 22:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Ugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
33% (6p)
WR Hard
20/36 = 55,6%
Ugo Humbert
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#38
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Hard
18/29 = 62,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,3000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1939 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1555,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,5594 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,4677 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9565 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,4483 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,2857 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65,7534 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 66,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 69,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,0215 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,9117 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,2662 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,2090 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,1613 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,3227 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,3500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 59,1837 | |
| momentum_diff | -11,1837 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,1814 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 24,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9455 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8261 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3182 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,1135 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,3698 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -11,4132 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0259 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1675 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -19,1188 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8741 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3142 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1765
API ID
13428160
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Marseille
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1765,
"api_id": 13428160,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Ugo Humbert",
"tournament": "Marseille",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-12T18:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.95,
"utr_ranking": 4,
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"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.43,
"utr_ranking": 38,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.06896551724138,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 38,
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.3,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1939224684724346,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 1555,
"best_rank_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.559386973180068,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9565217391304348,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 64.44827586206895,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.285714285714285,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.75342465753424,
"p1_surface_matches": 66,
"p2_surface_matches": 69,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.02151542145593,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.9117346743294945,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.26616666666667,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.2089818007662814,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.16133429118772824,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.322749042145593,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.35,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 59.183673469387756,
"momentum_diff": -11.183673469387749,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.181428571428583,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 24,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9454545454545454,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8260869565217391,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.113526993138699,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.369801366171671,
"surface_rank_synergy": -11.413166892102382,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.02588888888888885,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1674827586206895,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -19.118773946360136,
"utr_diff": 0.5199999999999996,
"utr_p1": 0.9352941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.8741176470588234,
"utr_advantage": 3.3142128744423176,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}