Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Elise Mertens
Doha | Hard | Round of 16
12 Feb 2025, 14:35
12 Feb 2025, 14:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterina … | Elise … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12.80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
41/71 = 57.7%
Elise Mertens
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
34/62 = 54.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.6931 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1406.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3.4673 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2.7879 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1452 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 58.4516 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.9843 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 54.5455 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 71.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 62.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1549 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.3214 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.5860 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.5891 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.0635 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.6048 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.3955 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7063 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3077 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.8787 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.6368 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2.4033 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0745 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0598 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 3.4673 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5212 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.9330 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1770
API ID
13428275
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Doha
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1770,
"api_id": 13428275,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"player2": "Elise Mertens",
"tournament": "Doha",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-12T14:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.8,
"utr_ranking": 6,
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"wr_surface": 57.74647887323944,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 71,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.43,
"utr_ranking": 27,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 54.83870967741935,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 62,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 27,
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"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.6931471805599453,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1406,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.4672868844170424,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.787878787878796,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1451612903225807,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 54.984326018808765,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"p1_surface_matches": 71,
"p2_surface_matches": 62,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15492957746478872,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.32136404085347436,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.5859787390029396,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.5891458944281567,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.063453079178899,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.6047617302052828,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.39554858934169257,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.862453531598513,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7063492063492064,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3076923076923077,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.878712468508656,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.636756622714241,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.4033401281261497,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07451612903225802,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05984326018808761,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 3.4672868844170424,
"utr_diff": 0.370000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5211764705882352,
"utr_advantage": 2.93301625049545,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}