Joao Fonseca vs Federico Coria
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
13 Feb 2025, 16:30
13 Feb 2025, 16:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joao … | Federico … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Fonseca
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
15.92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#18
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
22/37 = 59.5%
Federico Coria
Ranking
#271
UTR Rating
14.40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#200
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Clay
58/102 = 56.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 247.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 11.2917 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.4241 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 1435.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9.5885 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.9328 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.3627 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63.4667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53.8781 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.5366 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56.6038 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 102.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1892 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10.3484 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6.2400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5.5500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.3400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6.8500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.7817 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10.8690 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.2029 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0476 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4583 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.3459 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.5329 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 23.2432 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1123 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2858 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 28.7656 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9318 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7529 | |
| utr_advantage | 10.0264 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1785
API ID
13428122
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Joao Fonseca",
"player2": "Federico Coria",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-13T16:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"player_stats": {
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"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
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"utr": {
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"p2_surface_matches": 102,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1891891891891892,
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
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"serve_quality_diff": 10.348427176822547,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.240000000000002,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.550000000000011,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.340000000000003,
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"aces_per_match_diff": 2.7817135884112734,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
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"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.869,
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"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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"match_load_p1": 1,
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"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2028985507246377,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.11233333333333351,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2857812942843646,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 28.765611714690564,
"utr_diff": 1.5199999999999996,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
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"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
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"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}