Mariano Navone vs Holger Rune
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
14 Feb 2025, 01:30
14 Feb 2025, 01:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mariano … | Holger … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mariano Navone
Ranking
#74
UTR Rating
14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Clay
28/42 = 66,7%
Holger Rune
Ranking
#16
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
9/14 = 64,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -58,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2162 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,5315 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1820,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,0110 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,6601 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,6774 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,4228 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64,4118 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 65,5172 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 83,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3253 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,6235 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,3600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,3600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,7500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,6700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,6178 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 3,5700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7356 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,2908 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5833 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5439 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,2299 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3,0798 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2222 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0861 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8059 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1787
API ID
13428120
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1787,
"api_id": 13428120,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mariano Navone",
"player2": "Holger Rune",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-13T21:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 74,
"utr_singles": 14.85,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 28,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.85,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -58,
"rank_ratio": 0.21621621621621623,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.5314763709643884,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1820,
"best_rank_diff": -25,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.0109995217599135,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.6600985221674947,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.6774193548387095,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.42276422764226,
"surface_wr_p2": 64.41176470588235,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 65.51724137931035,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.857142857142854,
"p1_surface_matches": 83,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3253012048192771,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.623533237685315,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.359999999999985,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.3600000000000065,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.75,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.670000000000009,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.617766618842659,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 8.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 3.5700000000000074,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7355769230769231,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2908496732026145,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5833333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.543871499307123,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.229916706198939,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.079798249595993,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.22222764227642267,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08611764705882341,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8058823529411764,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}