Lorenzo Musetti vs Corentin Moutet
Buenos Aires | Clay | Round of 16
13 Feb 2025, 23:30
13 Feb 2025, 23:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lorenzo … | Corentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
16.04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Clay
37/51 = 72.5%
Corentin Moutet
Ranking
#35
UTR Rating
15.80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#27
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Clay
30/54 = 55.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 27.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.3750 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.4759 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2632.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 26.3328 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15.7367 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9444 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 77.1118 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50.7790 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70.9091 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55.1724 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 51.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 54.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.4510 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.8028 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2.6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4.9800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9.2200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.3300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.4984 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 69.3878 | |
| momentum_diff | -17.3878 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1.2163 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 26.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.5098 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1170 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4375 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.2736 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.5312 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 38.8647 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2441 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0348 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 52.6656 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9176 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.5075 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1788
API ID
13428114
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 13428114,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"player2": "Corentin Moutet",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-13T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 25,
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"p1_surface_matches": 51,
"p2_surface_matches": 54,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.45098039215686275,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.8028361492658149,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.5999999999999943,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.980000000000004,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.219999999999999,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.3299999999999983,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.49841807463290877,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
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"momentum_diff": -17.387755102040828,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.2163265306122355,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 26,
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"match_load_p1": 0,
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"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5098039215686274,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4375,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.273580449648027,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.531172130731931,
"surface_rank_synergy": 38.86473192036655,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2441180124223601,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03479014308426076,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 52.665573867619884,
"utr_diff": 0.23999999999999844,
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"utr_advantage": 1.5075376884422014,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}