Matteo Arnaldi vs Learner Tien
Delray Beach | Hard | Round of 16
14 Feb 2025, 03:10
14 Feb 2025, 03:10
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Learner … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -36,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4462 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8071 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -682,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,4760 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -20,7039 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6436 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -8,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49,8769 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71,3529 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,7246 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 71,4286 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 101,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0154 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,6513 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,1248 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,0144 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,8880 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9,1594 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,5466 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -19,5510 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7625 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6092 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6897 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6230 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,5221 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6109 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 17,3331 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0348 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1775 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,6684 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1791
API ID
13428135
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Delray Beach
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1791,
"api_id": 13428135,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"player2": "Learner Tien",
"tournament": "Delray Beach",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-02-13T23:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.4461538461538462,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.807091439909163,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -682,
"best_rank_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.476047237076656,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -20.70393374741201,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6435643564356436,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -8,
"surface_wr_p1": 49.87689393939394,
"surface_wr_p2": 71.3529411764706,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.72463768115942,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 71.42857142857143,
"p1_surface_matches": 65,
"p2_surface_matches": 101,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.015384615384615385,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.651258333333331,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.124764393939401,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.01441020499108,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.888047771836007,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.159361675579326,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.546599598930481,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -19.551000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7625,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6091549295774648,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6896551724137931,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6229508196721312,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.522120610107062,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.6109220776630675,
"surface_rank_synergy": 17.3331338881294,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.034768939393939435,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17752941176470594,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
"utr_p1": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.8905882352941177,
"utr_advantage": -2.668402212821348,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}