Joao Fonseca vs Mariano Navone
Buenos Aires | Clay | Quarterfinals
14 Feb 2025, 22:25
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joao … Mariano … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Fonseca
Ranking #32
UTR Rating 15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Clay 8/12 = 66,7%
Mariano Navone
Ranking #74
UTR Rating 14,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Clay 28/42 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 42,0000
rank_ratio 2,3125
log_rank_ratio 0,8383
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 750,0000
best_rank_diff 5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -2,9561
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,9807
surface_matches_ratio 0,4458
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,4667
surface_wr_p2 66,4228
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,5366
surface_wr_p2_stable 65,5172
p1_surface_matches 37,0000
p2_surface_matches 83,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1892
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,5796
first_serve_won_diff 6,3500
second_serve_won_diff -1,0200
bp_saved_diff 1,1600
bp_converted_diff -7,3800
aces_per_match_diff 3,8553
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,8300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2029
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7356
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6429
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5833
serve_consistency_p1 6,0096
serve_consistency_p2 9,0306
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,4782
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0927
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2062
elite_surface_amplifier -2,9561
UTR
utr_diff 0,7100
utr_p1 0,8894
utr_p2 0,8059
utr_advantage 4,6695
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 1825
API ID 13428124
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Buenos Aires
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 1825,
    "api_id": 13428124,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Joao Fonseca",
    "player2": "Mariano Navone",
    "tournament": "Buenos Aires",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-02-14T18:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.56,
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      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 74,
      "utr_singles": 14.85,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 28,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 6
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "best_rank_diff": 5,
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    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4457831325301205,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 66.42276422764226,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.536585365853654,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 65.51724137931035,
    "p1_surface_matches": 37,
    "p2_surface_matches": 83,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1891891891891892,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 10.579552845528454,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.349999999999994,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.019999999999989,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.1599999999999966,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.38000000000001,
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    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -2.8299999999999983,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2028985507246377,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7355769230769231,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.009586765373171,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.030616402550681,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.47818287504923,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09266666666666645,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.20622764227642265,
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
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    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
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}