Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga Swiatek
Doha | Hard | Semifinals
14 Feb 2025, 18:00
14 Feb 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jelena … | Iga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
56% (9p)
WR Hard
8/21 = 38,1%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
88% (8p)
WR Hard
41/52 = 78,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -22,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0833 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,4849 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -6587,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -34,8851 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -27,0408 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5532 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,0215 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 80,9066 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 80,6122 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 52,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 94,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,4402 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,8676 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,9859 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,3128 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,8058 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4349 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7981 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9835 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5556 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6790 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,5295 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 86,6862 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0178 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2871 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5765 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,4000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1835
API ID
13428267
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Doha
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1835,
"api_id": 13428267,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"player2": "Iga Swiatek",
"tournament": "Doha",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-02-14T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 38.095238095238095,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 55.55555555555556,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 12.9,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 78.84615384615384,
"wr_surface_wins": 41,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 87.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.9,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -22,
"rank_ratio": 0.08333333333333333,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.4849066497880004,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -6587,
"best_rank_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": -34.88508803024932,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -27.040816326530617,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5531914893617021,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.02150537634408,
"surface_wr_p2": 80.9065934065934,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 80.61224489795919,
"p1_surface_matches": 52,
"p2_surface_matches": 94,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.4402215231005542,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.8676435661112976,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.985868486352359,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.312778270116986,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.8057736618220446,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4349019260309572,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7981220657276995,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9835294117647059,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5555555555555556,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.678983461828734,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.529502481453331,
"surface_rank_synergy": 86.68618722480632,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.017784946236559185,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.28706593406593395,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.8000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_p2": 0.5764705882352942,
"utr_advantage": -6.400000000000006,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}