Alex Michelsen vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Delray Beach | Hard | Semifinals
15 Feb 2025, 18:00
15 Feb 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Miomir … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex Michelsen
Ranking
#38
UTR Rating
15.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#87
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
51/87 = 58.6%
Miomir Kecmanovic
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking
#65
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
31/68 = 45.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 14.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.3684 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.3137 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 300.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7.4487 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 12.4084 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.2794 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.2453 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46.7965 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.2418 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45.8333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 87.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 68.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1724 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1.7564 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.0433 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.2851 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.8828 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.9002 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.3246 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4.1700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8512 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3529 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.2461 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.1168 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2.3364 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0285 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0180 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 7.4487 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8729 | |
| utr_advantage | -1.5028 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
1860
API ID
13428141
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Delray Beach
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1860,
"api_id": 13428141,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex Michelsen",
"player2": "Miomir Kecmanovic",
"tournament": "Delray Beach",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-02-15T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 38,
"utr_singles": 15.19,
"utr_ranking": 87,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 51,
"wr_surface_total": 87,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 52,
"utr_singles": 15.42,
"utr_ranking": 65,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.588235294117645,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 68,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.19,
"ranking": 87,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 65,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.368421052631579,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3136575588550416,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 300,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.448746222331131,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 12.40842490842492,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2794117647058822,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.24528301886792,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.79653679653679,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.24175824175825,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.83333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 87,
"p2_surface_matches": 68,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1724137931034483,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.7563694355958432,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.043306427202097,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.28513743747927833,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.8827537224152024,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.900158553987623,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.3245874953755088,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.170000000000016,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8511904761904762,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1363636363636365,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.55,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.246114793019926,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.116783313350112,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.3363555566270957,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.028452830188679168,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.01803463203463207,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 7.448746222331131,
"utr_diff": -0.23000000000000043,
"utr_p1": 0.8458823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.8729411764705882,
"utr_advantage": -1.5027768703038251,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}