Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Arnaldi
Delray Beach | Hard | Semifinals
16 Feb 2025, 05:00
16 Feb 2025, 05:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
29/46 = 63,0%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
63% (8p)
WR Hard
16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 51,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,6429 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,5353 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1777,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 16,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10,1359 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,6087 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2308 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0128 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,8769 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,7246 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 80,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 65,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1750 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,6888 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2,9167 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,9738 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,8834 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,1041 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,4113 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8038 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7625 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5227 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6897 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,2399 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0,7478 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 15,5619 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0491 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0498 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 20,2718 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,9890 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
1861
API ID
13428140
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Delray Beach
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 1861,
"api_id": 13428140,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"tournament": "Delray Beach",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-02-16T01:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 14,
"utr_singles": 15.62,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.04347826086957,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
"wr_surface_wins": 16,
"wr_surface_total": 33,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 62.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.62,
"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.16,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 51,
"rank_ratio": 4.642857142857143,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.5353299402803786,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 1777,
"best_rank_diff": 16,
"surface_wr_diff": 10.135893784391229,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.608695652173914,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2307692307692308,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.012787723785166,
"surface_wr_p2": 49.87689393939394,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.72463768115942,
"p1_surface_matches": 80,
"p2_surface_matches": 65,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.175,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.688831734867861,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.9167127315353127,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.97381941215221,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.8833685964504596,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.104076765093396,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.4113105963729353,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8038147138964578,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7625,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5227272727272727,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6896551724137931,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.239893906531542,
"serve_consistency_p2": 0.7477619601341626,
"surface_rank_synergy": 15.561941198677646,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.049127877237851725,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04976893939393934,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 20.271787568782457,
"utr_diff": 0.4599999999999991,
"utr_p1": 0.896470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 2.9889538661468427,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}