Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Arnaldi
Delray Beach | Hard | Semifinals
16 Feb 2025, 05:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alejandro … Matteo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking #14
UTR Rating 15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #16
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 29/46 = 63,0%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking #65
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Hard 16/33 = 48,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 51,0000
rank_ratio 4,6429
log_rank_ratio 1,5353
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1777,0000
best_rank_diff 16,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 10,1359
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,6087
surface_matches_ratio 1,2308
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0128
surface_wr_p2 49,8769
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,7246
p1_surface_matches 80,0000
p2_surface_matches 65,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1750
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,6888
first_serve_won_diff -2,9167
second_serve_won_diff 1,9738
bp_saved_diff 0,8834
bp_converted_diff 7,1041
aces_per_match_diff -2,4113
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8038
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7625
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5227
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6897
serve_consistency_p1 5,2399
serve_consistency_p2 0,7478
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,5619
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0491
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0498
elite_surface_amplifier 20,2718
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,8965
utr_p2 0,8424
utr_advantage 2,9890
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 1861
API ID 13428140
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Delray Beach
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 1861,
    "api_id": 13428140,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
    "player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
    "tournament": "Delray Beach",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-02-16T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.62,
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      "wr_surface_total": 46,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 15.16,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.484848484848484,
      "wr_surface_wins": 16,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
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      "form_l10_matches": 8
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.72463768115942,
    "p1_surface_matches": 80,
    "p2_surface_matches": 65,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.175,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.688831734867861,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.9167127315353127,
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    "bp_saved_diff": 0.8833685964504596,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.104076765093396,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.4113105963729353,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8038147138964578,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7625,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5227272727272727,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6896551724137931,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.239893906531542,
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    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.561941198677646,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.049127877237851725,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
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    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
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    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
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}