Darius Florin Pop vs Karim Al-Amin
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 10:00
10 Dec 2025, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karim Al-Amin
Darius …: 48.5%
Karim …: 51.5%
¿Por qué Karim Al-Amin?
UTR 12.64 vs 12.00
(+0.64)
— Niveles similares
Darius …
W38-L33
54% WR
vs UTR 12.3
L4
Karim …
W30-L30
50% WR
vs UTR 12.4
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Darius … | Karim … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3.75 | 1.25 | 26.7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2.06 | 1.94 | 48.5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Darius …: +23.5%
Karim …: -23.5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Darius Florin Pop
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1380
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Karim Al-Amin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12.00 General
UTR Ranking
#1483
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Darius Florin Pop
Record 2025
38W - 33L (54%)
Racha
4L
UTR Oponentes
12.3
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
W
Karim Al-Amin
Record 2025
30W - 30L (50%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12.4
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.6400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 5.1948 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18615
API ID
15184538
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18615,
"api_id": 15184538,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Darius Florin Pop",
"player2": "Karim Al-Amin",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.76,
"p2": 1.23
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4853,
"prob_p2": 0.5147,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5147,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 1380,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 38,
"utr_v4_losses": 33,
"utr_v4_wr": 53.52112676056338,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.25,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Iulius Maximus Stoica"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.54,
"opponent_name": "Twan van Zijl"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.23,
"opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jose Murariu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Ilan Hediger"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:57.636540+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1483,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.14,
"opponent_name": "Edward Winter"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Mikkel Zinder"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "JanMagnus Johnson"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Antoine Mayoral"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.86,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Luis"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.369441+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.64,
"ranking": 1380,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1483,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5458823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 0.6400000000000006,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 5.194805194805199,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}