Fred Gil vs Tiago Torres
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
14 Dic 2025, 14:45
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tiago Torres
Fred …: 15,4% Tiago …: 84,7%
¿Por qué Tiago Torres?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,63 (-1,57) — Ligera ventaja
Fred …
W58-L32
64% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L1
Tiago …
W41-L21
66% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W3
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Fred … Tiago … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,00 1,14 20,0%
Gamdom 4,75 1,10 21,1%
IA Fair Odds 6,51 1,18 15,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Fred …: -3,3% Tiago …: +3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Fred Gil
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3559
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Tiago Torres
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #598
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 71% (7p)
WR Hard 3/5 = 60,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Fred Gil
Record 2025 58W - 32L (64%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,5
Últimos 5:
L W L L L
Tiago Torres
Record 2025 41W - 21L (66%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 13,0
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Tiago Torres en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -60,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -2,8490
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 60,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,5470
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 5,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3667
combined_confidence 0,3333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -46,1680
first_serve_won_diff -47,6600
second_serve_won_diff -50,4600
bp_saved_diff -52,8400
bp_converted_diff -40,0200
aces_per_match_diff -3,6000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,8000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 3,0345
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,5700
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6553
utr_advantage -12,2800
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18617
API ID 15184535
Gamdom ID 508249
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18617,
    "api_id": 15184535,
    "gamdom_id": 508249,
    "player1": "Fred Gil",
    "player2": "Tiago Torres",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-14T10:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.0,
      "p2": 1.1428571428571428
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.75,
      "p2": 1.1
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.25,
      "p2": 1.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1535,
    "prob_p2": 0.8465,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8465,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3559,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 58,
      "utr_v4_losses": 32,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.44444444444444,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.48,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Raphael Calzi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ricardo Ramos"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.58,
          "opponent_name": "Sean HODKIN"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.84,
          "opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.26,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Fanselow"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:26.478982+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.63,
      "utr_ranking": 598,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 66.12903225806451,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.99,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.97,
          "opponent_name": "David Jorda Sanchis"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.46,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Curras Abasolo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.78,
          "opponent_name": "Alejo Sanchez Quilez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.75,
          "opponent_name": "Tommaso Compagnucci"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.67,
          "opponent_name": "Jose Freitas"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:49.349432+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 5,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 71.42857142857143,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3559,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.63,
      "ranking": 598,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6552941176470588,
    "utr_diff": -1.5700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -52.839999999999996,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
    "utr_advantage": -12.280015643332032,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -60.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -40.02,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 5,
    "serve_quality_diff": -46.168,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.6,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -47.66,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.034491144954581,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.547008547008545,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -50.459999999999994,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.800000000000004,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09999999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.849002849002848,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}