Marshall Tutu vs Tiago Torres
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 14:30
10 Dec 2025, 14:30
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tiago Torres
Marshall …: 20.7%
Tiago …: 79.3%
¿Por qué Tiago Torres?
UTR 12.00 vs 13.57
(-1.57)
— Ligera ventaja
Marshall …
W36-L30
55% WR
vs UTR 12.3
L1
Tiago …
W41-L21
66% WR
vs UTR 13.0
W3
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Marshall … | Tiago … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3.75 | 1.25 | 26.7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4.83 | 1.26 | 20.7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Marshall …: -4.3%
Tiago …: +4.3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Marshall Tutu
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12.00 General
UTR Ranking
#1808
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Tiago Torres
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13.57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#633
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
3/5 = 60.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Marshall Tutu
Record 2025
36W - 30L (55%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12.3
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
W
Tiago Torres
Record 2025
41W - 21L (66%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
13.0
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Tiago Torres en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -60.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -2.8490 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.5470 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 5.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -46.1680 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -47.6600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -50.4600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -52.8400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -40.0200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3.6000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 37.2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.0345 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1.5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.6553 | |
| utr_advantage | -12.2800 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18620
API ID
15184532
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18620,
"api_id": 15184532,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Marshall Tutu",
"player2": "Tiago Torres",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T14:30:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.75,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.6,
"p2": 1.25
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2069,
"prob_p2": 0.7931,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7931,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1808,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 36,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 54.54545454545454,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.25,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.84,
"opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.5,
"opponent_name": "Pavel Lagutin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.02,
"opponent_name": "Christopher Bulus"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.03,
"opponent_name": "Gergely Madarasz"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Bruno Ouvidor"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:38.201861+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.57,
"utr_ranking": 633,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 41,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 66.12903225806451,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.99,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.97,
"opponent_name": "David Jorda Sanchis"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.46,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Curras Abasolo"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.78,
"opponent_name": "Alejo Sanchez Quilez"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.75,
"opponent_name": "Tommaso Compagnucci"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.67,
"opponent_name": "Jose Freitas"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:49.349432+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 5,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1808,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.57,
"ranking": 633,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.6552941176470588,
"utr_diff": -1.5700000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -52.839999999999996,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.36666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.0,
"utr_advantage": -12.280015643332032,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -60.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -40.02,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 5,
"serve_quality_diff": -46.168,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.6,
"combined_confidence": 0.3333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -47.66,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.034491144954581,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.547008547008545,
"second_serve_won_diff": -50.459999999999994,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 37.199999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.09999999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -2.849002849002848,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}