Julio Cesar Porras vs Pedro Liborio
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
11 Dec 2025, 10:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Julio Cesar Porras
Julio …: 67.0% Pedro …: 33.0%
¿Por qué Julio Cesar Porras?
UTR 13.52 vs 12.00 (+1.52) — Ligera ventaja
Julio …
W33-L19
63% WR
vs UTR 13.1
L1
Pedro …
W21-L7
75% WR
vs UTR 11.4
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Julio … Pedro … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1.49 3.03 67.0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Julio Cesar Porras
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13.52 Pro
UTR Ranking #668
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0.0%
Pedro Liborio
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.00 General
UTR Ranking #2436
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Julio Cesar Porras
Record 2025 33W - 19L (63%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13.1
Últimos 5:
L W L L L
Pedro Liborio
Record 2025 21W - 7L (75%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11.4
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Julio Cesar Porras ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13.1 vs 11.4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14.1067
surface_matches_ratio 1.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 1.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance -1.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3133
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.3333
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 77.7778
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -22.2222
weighted_momentum_diff -16.6667
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 1.3496
serve_consistency_p2 10.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 1.5200
utr_p1 0.6494
utr_p2 0.4706
utr_advantage 11.9122
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18622
API ID 15184577
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18622,
    "api_id": 15184577,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Julio Cesar Porras",
    "player2": "Pedro Liborio",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6701,
    "prob_p2": 0.3299,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6701,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.52,
      "utr_ranking": 668,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 33,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.46153846153846,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.08,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.49,
          "opponent_name": "Harold Huens"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.79,
          "opponent_name": "Svyatoslav Gulin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.39,
          "opponent_name": "Patrick Schoen"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.16,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Lopez Cherubino"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.96,
          "opponent_name": "Raul Brancaccio"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:01.890100+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2436,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 7,
      "utr_v4_wr": 75.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.41,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yan Kodjoed"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "PABLO SEGURA"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Germano Diehl Setti"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.69,
          "opponent_name": "Ricard Novell"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kaua Lopes Cressoni"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:10.266568+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.52,
      "ranking": 668,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2436,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6494117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 1.5199999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 77.77777777777777,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -22.22222222222223,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.912225705329151,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 1.3495664228215691,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -16.666666666666657,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}