Julio Cesar Porras vs Pedro Liborio
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
11 Dec 2025, 10:00
11 Dec 2025, 10:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Julio Cesar Porras
Julio …: 67.0%
Pedro …: 33.0%
¿Por qué Julio Cesar Porras?
UTR 13.52 vs 12.00
(+1.52)
— Ligera ventaja
Julio …
W33-L19
63% WR
vs UTR 13.1
L1
Pedro …
W21-L7
75% WR
vs UTR 11.4
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Julio … | Pedro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1.49 | 3.03 | 67.0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Julio Cesar Porras
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13.52 Pro
UTR Ranking
#668
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0.0%
Pedro Liborio
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12.00 General
UTR Ranking
#2436
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Julio Cesar Porras
Record 2025
33W - 19L (63%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13.1
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Pedro Liborio
Record 2025
21W - 7L (75%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11.4
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Julio Cesar Porras ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13.1 vs 11.4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14.1067 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 77.7778 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22.2222 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -16.6667 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1.3496 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6494 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 11.9122 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18622
API ID
15184577
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18622,
"api_id": 15184577,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Julio Cesar Porras",
"player2": "Pedro Liborio",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-11T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6701,
"prob_p2": 0.3299,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6701,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.52,
"utr_ranking": 668,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 33,
"utr_v4_losses": 19,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.46153846153846,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.08,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.49,
"opponent_name": "Harold Huens"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.79,
"opponent_name": "Svyatoslav Gulin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.39,
"opponent_name": "Patrick Schoen"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.16,
"opponent_name": "Noah Lopez Cherubino"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.96,
"opponent_name": "Raul Brancaccio"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:01.890100+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2436,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 7,
"utr_v4_wr": 75.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.41,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Yan Kodjoed"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "PABLO SEGURA"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Germano Diehl Setti"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.69,
"opponent_name": "Ricard Novell"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Kaua Lopes Cressoni"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:10.266568+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.52,
"ranking": 668,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2436,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6494117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 1.5199999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 77.77777777777777,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -22.22222222222223,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 11.912225705329151,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.3495664228215691,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -16.666666666666657,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}