Pavel Lagutin vs Kuzey Cekirge
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
14 Dic 2025, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Kuzey Cekirge
Pavel …: 49,3% Kuzey …: 50,7%
¿Por qué Kuzey Cekirge?
UTR 13,44 vs 12,34 (+0,68) — Niveles similares
Pavel …
W57-L16
78% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W1
Kuzey …
W32-L21
60% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Pavel … Kuzey … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,14 5,00 87,5%
Gamdom 1,08 5,00 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,03 1,97 49,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Pavel …: -32,1% Kuzey …: +32,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Pavel Lagutin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #733
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Kuzey Cekirge
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #1689
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Pavel Lagutin
Record 2025 57W - 16L (78%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
W L W L L
Kuzey Cekirge
Record 2025 32W - 21L (60%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
W W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -56,5100
first_serve_won_diff -70,0000
second_serve_won_diff -51,7000
bp_saved_diff -75,0000
bp_converted_diff -50,0000
aces_per_match_diff -3,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -50,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6800
utr_p1 0,6471
utr_p2 0,5671
utr_advantage 5,1672
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18636
API ID 15184595
Gamdom ID 508277
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18636,
    "api_id": 15184595,
    "gamdom_id": 508277,
    "player1": "Pavel Lagutin",
    "player2": "Kuzey Cekirge",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-14T09:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1428571428571428,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.15,
      "p2": 4.93
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4933,
    "prob_p2": 0.5067,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5067,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.44,
      "utr_ranking": 733,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 57,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 78.08219178082192,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.33,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.29,
          "opponent_name": "Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.72,
          "opponent_name": "Pedro Rodenas"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Xavi Palomar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.63,
          "opponent_name": "Abel Forger"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.5,
          "opponent_name": "Tiago Cacao"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:10.072359+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.34,
      "utr_ranking": 1689,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.37735849056604,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.48,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Ilin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.33,
          "opponent_name": "Egor Khotchenkov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Motta"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.32,
          "opponent_name": "Jordi Garcia Mestre"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.07,
          "opponent_name": "Leonid Sheyngezikht"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:13.685724+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.44,
      "ranking": 733,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.34,
      "ranking": 1689,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.5670588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.6799999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -75.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.167173252279634,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -56.51,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -70.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -51.7,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}