Sebastian Fanselow vs Kuzey Cekirge
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
11 Dec 2025, 10:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Fanselow
Sebastian …: 74.3% Kuzey …: 25.7%
¿Por qué Sebastian Fanselow?
UTR 13.26 vs 12.82 (+0.44) — Niveles similares
Sebastian …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13.1
W4
Kuzey …
W32-L21
60% WR
vs UTR 12.5
W2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sebastian … Kuzey … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1.35 3.89 74.3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Fanselow
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13.26 Pro
UTR Ranking #837
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 11/23 = 47.8%
Kuzey Cekirge
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.82 Pro
UTR Ranking #1222
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Fanselow
Record 2025 21W - 20L (51%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 13.1
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Kuzey Cekirge
Record 2025 32W - 21L (60%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 12.5
Últimos 5:
W W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Fanselow en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 60.1667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 23.8400
surface_matches_ratio 23.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 60.1667
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48.1481
surface_wr_p2_stable 4.0000
p1_surface_matches 23.0000
p2_surface_matches 1.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.0435
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.7667
p2_confidence 0.3133
combined_confidence 0.5400
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7.9120
first_serve_won_diff -12.6900
second_serve_won_diff 1.7100
bp_saved_diff -12.8660
bp_converted_diff -4.5960
aces_per_match_diff -1.0400
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 0.4049
serve_consistency_p2 10.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.1017
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.4400
utr_p1 0.6188
utr_p2 0.5671
utr_advantage 3.3742
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18640
API ID 15184596
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18640,
    "api_id": 15184596,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Sebastian Fanselow",
    "player2": "Kuzey Cekirge",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.743,
    "prob_p2": 0.257,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.743,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.26,
      "utr_ranking": 837,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.12,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Goncalo Quintela"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Karol Malirz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.66,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Loge"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.25,
          "opponent_name": "Joao Domingues"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.17,
          "opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.652872+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 47.82608695652174,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.82,
      "utr_ranking": 1222,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 60.37735849056604,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.48,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Ilin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.33,
          "opponent_name": "Egor Khotchenkov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Motta"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.32,
          "opponent_name": "Jordi Garcia Mestre"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.07,
          "opponent_name": "Leonid Sheyngezikht"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:13.685724+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.26,
      "ranking": 837,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.82,
      "ranking": 1222,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6188235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5670588235294118,
    "utr_diff": 0.4399999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -12.866,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.16666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.3742331288343523,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 60.16666666666666,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.596000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 23,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.911999999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.04,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5399999999999999,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.689999999999998,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.043478260869565216,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 0.40485829959514064,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.148148148148145,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.7100000000000009,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 23.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10166666666666657,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.839999999999996,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}