Sebastian Fanselow vs Kuzey Cekirge
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
12 Dic 2025, 01:00
12 Dic 2025, 01:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Fanselow
Sebastian …: 74,3%
Kuzey …: 25,7%
¿Por qué Sebastian Fanselow?
UTR 13,04 vs 12,34
(+0,44)
— Niveles similares
Sebastian …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13,1
W4
Kuzey …
W32-L21
60% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W2
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Kuzey … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 2,75 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 3,33 | 1,23 | 30,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,35 | 3,89 | 74,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sebastian …: +8,0%
Kuzey …: -8,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Fanselow
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1058
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Kuzey Cekirge
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1689
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Fanselow
Record 2025
21W - 20L (51%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
13,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Kuzey Cekirge
Record 2025
32W - 21L (60%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Fanselow en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 60,1667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,8400 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 23,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,1481 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0435 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,9120 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -12,6900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,7100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,8660 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,5960 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0400 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,4049 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1017 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5671 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,3742 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18640
API ID
15184596
Gamdom ID
508279
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18640,
"api_id": 15184596,
"gamdom_id": 508279,
"player1": "Sebastian Fanselow",
"player2": "Kuzey Cekirge",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-11T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.33,
"p2": 1.23
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.63
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.743,
"prob_p2": 0.257,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.743,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.04,
"utr_ranking": 1058,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.12,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Goncalo Quintela"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Karol Malirz"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.66,
"opponent_name": "Jack Loge"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.25,
"opponent_name": "Joao Domingues"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.17,
"opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.652872+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.34,
"utr_ranking": 1689,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 32,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.37735849056604,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.48,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Alexander Ilin"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.33,
"opponent_name": "Egor Khotchenkov"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.6,
"opponent_name": "Andrea Motta"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.32,
"opponent_name": "Jordi Garcia Mestre"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.07,
"opponent_name": "Leonid Sheyngezikht"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:13.685724+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.04,
"ranking": 1058,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.34,
"ranking": 1689,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6188235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5670588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.4399999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.866,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.16666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 3.3742331288343523,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 60.16666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.596000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.911999999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.04,
"combined_confidence": 0.5399999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -12.689999999999998,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.043478260869565216,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.40485829959514064,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.148148148148145,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.7100000000000009,
"surface_matches_ratio": 23.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10166666666666657,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.839999999999996,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}