Tiago Cacao vs Vasco Leote Prata
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 13:00
10 Dec 2025, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Vasco Leote Prata
Tiago …: 43.8%
Vasco …: 56.3%
¿Por qué Vasco Leote Prata?
Tiago …
W29-L13
69% WR
vs UTR 12.9
L1
Vasco …
Sin datos
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tiago … | Vasco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1.44 | 2.63 | 69.2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2.29 | 1.78 | 43.8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tiago …: -20.8%
Vasco …: +20.8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tiago Cacao
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13.50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#685
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Vasco Leote Prata
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/2 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tiago Cacao
Record 2025
29W - 13L (69%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12.9
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Vasco Leote Prata
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5.7444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 25.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 6.6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -53.6560 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -64.3300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -62.9700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -66.7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -20.0100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.3000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 57.1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 42.8571 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 135.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.8095 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6471 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.6471 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18647
API ID
15184585
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18647,
"api_id": 15184585,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Tiago Cacao",
"player2": "Vasco Leote Prata",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T13:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4444444444444444,
"p2": 2.625
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.42,
"p2": 2.64
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4375,
"prob_p2": 0.5625,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5625,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.5,
"utr_ranking": 685,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 29,
"utr_v4_losses": 13,
"utr_v4_wr": 69.04761904761905,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.88,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.11,
"opponent_name": "Cezar (2001) Cretu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.99,
"opponent_name": "Diego Dedura-Palomero"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.92,
"opponent_name": "Salvador Monteiro"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.46,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Curras Abasolo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.17,
"opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:48.316323+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.5,
"ranking": 685,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.6470588235294118,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -66.7,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 57.14285714285715,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -20.01,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": -53.656,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2999999999999998,
"combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -64.33,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.809523809523817,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": -62.97,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 42.85714285714286,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 135,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.744444444444445,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}