Tiago Cacao vs Yanais Laurent
UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07 | Hard |
11 Dec 2025, 10:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tiago Cacao
Tiago …: 63.7% Yanais …: 36.3%
¿Por qué Tiago Cacao?
UTR 13.50 vs 12.00 (+1.50) — Ligera ventaja
Tiago …
W29-L13
69% WR
vs UTR 12.9
L1
Yanais …
W34-L19
64% WR
vs UTR 12.4
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tiago … Yanais … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 1.57 2.76 63.7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tiago Cacao
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13.50 Pro
UTR Ranking #685
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Yanais Laurent
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.00 General
UTR Ranking #1696
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tiago Cacao
Record 2025 29W - 13L (69%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12.9
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Yanais Laurent
Record 2025 34W - 19L (64%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12.4
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7.5000
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 25.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.5000
last3_wr_diff -0.5000
momentum_p1 57.1429
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -42.8571
weighted_momentum_diff -32.1429
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 1.0000
match_load_p2 1.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 8.8095
serve_consistency_p2 10.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 1.5000
utr_p1 0.6471
utr_p2 0.4706
utr_advantage 11.7647
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18648
API ID 15184588
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18648,
    "api_id": 15184588,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tiago Cacao",
    "player2": "Yanais Laurent",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Carvoeiro Men +H 07",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T10:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6375,
    "prob_p2": 0.3625,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6375,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.5,
      "utr_ranking": 685,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 29,
      "utr_v4_losses": 13,
      "utr_v4_wr": 69.04761904761905,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.11,
          "opponent_name": "Cezar (2001) Cretu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.99,
          "opponent_name": "Diego Dedura-Palomero"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.92,
          "opponent_name": "Salvador Monteiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.46,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Curras Abasolo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.17,
          "opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:48.316323+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1696,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 34,
      "utr_v4_losses": 19,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.15094339622641,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.37,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.06,
          "opponent_name": "Arvid Nordquist"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eric Ahren Moonga"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Mark Simon Whitehouse"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.34,
          "opponent_name": "George Lazarov"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Amar HUSEINOVIC"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:03.326437+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.5,
      "ranking": 685,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1696,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6470588235294118,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 1.5,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.14285714285715,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -42.85714285714285,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.76470588235294,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.809523809523817,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.14285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.5,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}