Alafia Ayeni vs Tarek Erlewein
UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01 | Hard |
09 Dec 2025, 21:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alafia Ayeni
Alafia …: 77.1% Tarek …: 22.9%
¿Por qué Alafia Ayeni?
UTR 13.30 vs 12.62 (+0.68) — Niveles similares
Alafia …
W59-L30
66% WR
vs UTR 12.6
L1
Tarek …
W27-L12
69% WR
vs UTR 11.7
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alafia … Tarek … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1.20 4.33 83.3%
IA Fair Odds 1.30 4.36 77.1%
Edge vs Mercado: Alafia …: -1.2% Tarek …: +1.2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alafia Ayeni
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13.30 Pro
UTR Ranking #809
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 15/38 = 39.5%
Tarek Erlewein
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.62 General
UTR Ranking #2108
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alafia Ayeni
Record 2025 59W - 30L (66%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12.6
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Tarek Erlewein
Record 2025 27W - 12L (69%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11.7
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Alafia Ayeni ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12.6 vs 11.7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50.6452
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6.1905
surface_matches_ratio 38.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3.0000
surface_wr_p1 50.6452
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 40.4762
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 38.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.2105
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 66.9207
first_serve_won_diff 71.0603
second_serve_won_diff 58.1190
bp_saved_diff 51.0126
bp_converted_diff 36.7281
aces_per_match_diff 6.9774
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 11.4035
serve_consistency_p2 9.1864
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0065
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 0.6800
utr_p1 0.6235
utr_p2 0.5435
utr_advantage 5.2469
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18665
API ID 15182174
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18665,
    "api_id": 15182174,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Alafia Ayeni",
    "player2": "Tarek Erlewein",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-09T21:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.09
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7708,
    "prob_p2": 0.2292,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7708,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.3,
      "utr_ranking": 809,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 59,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 66.29213483146067,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.55,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.34,
          "opponent_name": "Federico Agustin Gomez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.71,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Manuel CERUNDOLO"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.16,
          "opponent_name": "Nicolas Kicker"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.16,
          "opponent_name": "Milledge Cossu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.48,
          "opponent_name": "Johannes INGILDSEN"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:03.728632+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 39.473684210526315,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 2108,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 12,
      "utr_v4_wr": 69.23076923076923,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.65,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "James Newton"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Louis Keller"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aaron Sandler"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "KEVIN TITUS SURESH"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Watanabe Eriksson"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:44.118079+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.3,
      "ranking": 809,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 2108,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.623529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.6800000000000015,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 51.01258064516129,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.64516129032258,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.246913580246925,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.64516129032258,
    "bp_converted_diff": 36.72806451612903,
    "p1_surface_matches": 38,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 66.92070967741935,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 6.977419354838709,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 71.06032258064516,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.21052631578947367,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.403508771929829,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.186401833460657,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.476190476190474,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 58.11903225806451,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 38.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.006451612903225712,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.190476190476192,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}