Maciej Rajski vs Tarek Erlewein
UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 20:00
10 Dec 2025, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maciej Rajski
Maciej …: 60.3%
Tarek …: 39.7%
¿Por qué Maciej Rajski?
UTR 13.47 vs 12.62
(+0.85)
— Niveles similares
Maciej …
W81-L17
83% WR
vs UTR 12.2
W1
Tarek …
W27-L12
69% WR
vs UTR 11.7
W1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maciej … | Tarek … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1.50 | 2.50 | 66.7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1.66 | 2.52 | 60.3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Maciej …: -2.2%
Tarek …: +2.2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maciej Rajski
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13.47 Pro
UTR Ranking
#707
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Tarek Erlewein
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12.62 General
UTR Ranking
#2108
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Maciej Rajski
Record 2025
81W - 17L (83%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12.2
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Tarek Erlewein
Record 2025
27W - 12L (69%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
11.7
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Maciej Rajski ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12.2 vs 11.7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22.2222 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -77.7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -58.3333 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3.9284 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.1864 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5435 | |
| utr_advantage | 6.5159 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18670
API ID
15182172
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18670,
"api_id": 15182172,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maciej Rajski",
"player2": "Tarek Erlewein",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T20:00:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.47
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6032,
"prob_p2": 0.3968,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6032,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.47,
"utr_ranking": 707,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 81,
"utr_v4_losses": 17,
"utr_v4_wr": 82.6530612244898,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.19,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Kosuke Nakanishi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Matteo Huarte"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.38,
"opponent_name": "Carson Baker"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Luca Ostovany"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Iiro Vasa"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:29.466451+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 2108,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 12,
"utr_v4_wr": 69.23076923076923,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.65,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "James Newton"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Louis Keller"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Aaron Sandler"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "KEVIN TITUS SURESH"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Alexander Watanabe Eriksson"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:44.118079+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.47,
"ranking": 707,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 2108,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6435294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.5435294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.8500000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.222222222222225,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -77.77777777777777,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 6.5159064775776265,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.9283710065919353,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.186401833460657,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -58.33333333333333,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}