Carson Baker vs Stijn Paardekooper
UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01 | Hard |
09 Dec 2025, 23:05
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stijn Paardekooper
Carson …: 36.9% Stijn …: 63.1%
¿Por qué Stijn Paardekooper?
UTR 12.00 vs 13.24 (-1.24) — Ligera ventaja
Carson …
W32-L24
57% WR
vs UTR 12.0
L1
Stijn …
W104-L36
74% WR
vs UTR 12.5
W3
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Carson … Stijn … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4.33 1.20 23.1%
IA Fair Odds 2.71 1.58 36.9%
Edge vs Mercado: Carson …: +15.2% Stijn …: -15.2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carson Baker
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.00 General
UTR Ranking #2832
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Stijn Paardekooper
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13.24 Pro
UTR Ranking #848
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Carson Baker
Record 2025 32W - 24L (57%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12.0
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Stijn Paardekooper
Record 2025 104W - 36L (74%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12.5
Últimos 5:
W W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Stijn Paardekooper en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0.0000
rank_ratio 1.0000
log_rank_ratio 0.0000
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 0.0000
best_rank_diff 0.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0000
surface_matches_ratio 0.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 0.0000
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 0.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.3000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0.0000
first_serve_won_diff 0.0000
second_serve_won_diff 0.0000
bp_saved_diff 0.0000
bp_converted_diff 0.0000
aces_per_match_diff 0.0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.5000
last3_wr_diff -0.5000
momentum_p1 0.0000
momentum_p2 42.8571
momentum_diff -42.8571
weighted_momentum_diff -32.1429
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 0.5169
serve_consistency_p2 5.0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0.0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -1.2400
utr_p1 0.4706
utr_p2 0.6165
utr_advantage -9.8257
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18675
API ID 15182180
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18675,
    "api_id": 15182180,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Carson Baker",
    "player2": "Stijn Paardekooper",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-09T23:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.333333333333334,
      "p2": 1.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.09,
      "p2": 1.2
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3686,
    "prob_p2": 0.6314,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6314,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2832,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.01,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luc Wieland"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luca Ostovany"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.47,
          "opponent_name": "Maciej Rajski"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Matteo Huarte"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joel Gibson"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:45.415408+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.24,
      "utr_ranking": 848,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 104,
      "utr_v4_losses": 36,
      "utr_v4_wr": 74.28571428571429,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.51,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hikaru Takahashi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oren Ezerzer"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.64,
          "opponent_name": "Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.11,
          "opponent_name": "Ryan Fishback"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.03,
          "opponent_name": "Gabriele Vulpitta"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:41.739445+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2832,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.24,
      "ranking": 848,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.6164705882352941,
    "utr_diff": -1.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 42.85714285714286,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -42.85714285714286,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -9.825673534072902,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 0.5169172932330817,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.14285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}