Theodore Dean vs Hikaru Takahashi
UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01 | Hard |
10 Dic 2025, 02:25
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Theodore Dean
Theodore …: 66,7% Hikaru …: 33,3%
¿Por qué Theodore Dean?
UTR 13,43 vs 11,00 (+2,55) — Ventaja clara
Theodore …
W63-L17
79% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W5
Hikaru …
W15-L13
54% WR
vs UTR 11,2
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Theodore … Hikaru … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 3,00 66,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Theodore …: -19,9% Hikaru …: +19,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Theodore Dean
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #744
Forma L5 100% (3p)
Forma L10 100% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Hikaru Takahashi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #5427
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Theodore Dean
Record 2025 63W - 17L (79%)
Racha 5W
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Hikaru Takahashi
Record 2025 15W - 13L (54%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,2
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Theodore Dean en racha: 5 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,5000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 57,1429
momentum_diff 42,8571
weighted_momentum_diff 32,1429
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,4338
serve_consistency_p2 6,1321
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,5541
utr_p1 0,6365
utr_p2 0,3360
utr_advantage 21,0512
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18678
API ID 15182200
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18678,
    "api_id": 15182200,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Theodore Dean",
    "player2": "Hikaru Takahashi",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Honolulu Men +H 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-09T22:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 15.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6669,
    "prob_p2": 0.3331,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6669,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.43,
      "utr_ranking": 744,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 63,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 78.75,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.52,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zachery Foster"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.62,
          "opponent_name": "Tomohiro Masabayashi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.63,
          "opponent_name": "Suk Ann"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.46,
          "opponent_name": "Woobin Shin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Geun Jun Kim"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:47.142534+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 5427,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 15,
      "utr_v4_losses": 13,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.57142857142857,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.19,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.24,
          "opponent_name": "Stijn Paardekooper"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Filippo DI PERNA"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jon William Karlstad"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Robert Freedman"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel Abar"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:38.373264+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.43,
      "ranking": 744,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 5427,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.3359846650117575,
    "utr_diff": 2.5541303474000614,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 42.85714285714283,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 21.051216247066602,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.433830981162767,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.132075471698112,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 32.14285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}