Stefan Kostic vs Omar Jasika
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard |
11 Dic 2025, 07:40
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Omar Jasika
Stefan …: 11,4% Omar …: 88,6%
¿Por qué Omar Jasika?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,75 (-1,80) — Ligera ventaja
Stefan …
W10-L17
37% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L1
Omar …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Stefan … Omar … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 10,00 1,03 10,0%
Gamdom 7,84 1,01 12,8%
IA Fair Odds 8,77 1,13 11,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Stefan …: +2,1% Omar …: -2,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Stefan Kostic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6521
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Omar Jasika
Ranking #334
UTR Rating 13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #523
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/30 = 36,7%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Stefan Kostic
Record 2025 10W - 17L (37%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Omar Jasika
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -168,0000
rank_ratio 0,6640
log_rank_ratio -0,4095
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -155,0000
best_rank_diff -323,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -42,0303
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,4254
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -8,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,0303
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,2687
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 63,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -52,5580
first_serve_won_diff -62,1873
second_serve_won_diff -55,7882
bp_saved_diff -62,3518
bp_converted_diff -35,9682
aces_per_match_diff -2,3639
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2667
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 44,4444
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff -27,5556
weighted_momentum_diff -21,0867
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6032
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3158
serve_consistency_p1 11,6675
serve_consistency_p2 12,7370
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 17,2103
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3320
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2477
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,8000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6824
utr_advantage -13,9535
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18724
API ID 15182876
Gamdom ID 507477
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18724,
    "api_id": 15182876,
    "gamdom_id": 507477,
    "player1": "Stefan Kostic",
    "player2": "Omar Jasika",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T03:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 10.0,
      "p2": 1.0303030303030303
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.84,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 9.83,
      "p2": 1.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.114,
    "prob_p2": 0.886,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.886,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6521,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 10,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 37.03703703703704,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.74,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.59,
          "opponent_name": "Sam Young-Mathers"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andrej Paunovic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.96,
          "opponent_name": "Nikola Lulic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.22,
          "opponent_name": "Anton Arzhankin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yanko Yankov"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:39.530852+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 334,
      "utr_singles": 13.75,
      "utr_ranking": 523,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 36.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6521,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.75,
      "ranking": 523,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6823529411764707,
    "utr_diff": -1.8000000000000007,
    "rank_ratio": 0.664,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 44.44444444444445,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": -155,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -62.351818181818174,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.26666666666666666,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -27.55555555555555,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.030303030303024,
    "utr_advantage": -13.953488372093029,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -323,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.40947312950570314,
    "rank_advantage": -168,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3157894736842105,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -42.030303030303024,
    "bp_converted_diff": -35.96818181818182,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 63,
    "serve_quality_diff": -52.55796969696969,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6031746031746031,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.363939393939394,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -62.18727272727273,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.667484297649143,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.737000023570396,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 17.210279715891218,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.26865671641791,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -55.78818181818181,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.08666666666668,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.33199999999999996,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.2476969696969698,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.42537313432836,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -8
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}