Casey Ambler vs Shugo Ishigaki
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 00:00
10 Dec 2025, 00:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shugo Ishigaki
Casey …: 40.4%
Shugo …: 59.6%
¿Por qué Shugo Ishigaki?
Casey …
W17-L16
52% WR
vs UTR 11.0
L1
Shugo …
W4-L3
57% WR
vs UTR 11.4
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Casey … | Shugo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 2.47 | 1.68 | 40.4% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Casey Ambler
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11.00 General
UTR Ranking
#6853
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Shugo Ishigaki
Ranking
#-
UTR Ranking
#2999 General
Forma L5
50% (2p)
Forma L10
50% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Casey Ambler
Record 2025
17W - 16L (52%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11.0
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Shugo Ishigaki
Record 2025
4W - 3L (57%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
11.4
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Shugo Ishigaki ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 11.4 vs 11.0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 57.1429 | |
| momentum_diff | -57.1429 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -42.8571 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4.2056 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.4043 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.2845 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.3864 | |
| utr_advantage | -2.5537 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.5000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18732
API ID
15182889
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18732,
"api_id": 15182889,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Casey Ambler",
"player2": "Shugo Ishigaki",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.83,
"p2": 1.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4044,
"prob_p2": 0.5956,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5956,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 6853,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 17,
"utr_v4_losses": 16,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.515151515151516,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.96,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.79,
"opponent_name": "Sam Oster"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Tim Gray"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Joshua Carter"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Archie Brown"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Michael Caspanello"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:45.538542+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": 2999,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 4,
"utr_v4_losses": 3,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.39,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.22,
"opponent_name": "Charlie Pade"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Ayaan Chowdhary"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.49,
"opponent_name": "Ashton McLeod"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Jera Staley"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Sean Van Rensburg"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:34.102068+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 6853,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": 2999,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.38641591780714224,
"utr_diff": -0.2845353013607088,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -57.14285714285715,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -2.5536570317742715,
"utr_available": 0.5,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.20560041253707,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.404255319148941,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -42.85714285714286,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}