Matthew Dellavedova vs Shugo Ishigaki
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard |
11 Dic 2025, 04:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matthew Dellavedova
Matthew …: 78,2% Shugo …: 21,8%
¿Por qué Matthew Dellavedova?
UTR 13,49 vs 11,00 (+2,15) — Ventaja clara
Matthew …
W43-L35
55% WR
vs UTR 13,4
L2
Shugo …
W4-L3
57% WR
vs UTR 11,4
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matthew … Shugo … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,01 7,84 99,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,59 78,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matthew Dellavedova
Ranking #437
UTR Rating 13,49 Pro
UTR Ranking #700
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 3/9 = 33,3%
Shugo Ishigaki
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #4596
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Matthew Dellavedova
Record 2025 43W - 35L (55%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 13,4
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Shugo Ishigaki
Record 2025 4W - 3L (57%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,4
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Análisis Momentum
Matthew Dellavedova ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,4 vs 11,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 63,0000
rank_ratio 1,1442
log_rank_ratio 0,1347
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 108,0000
best_rank_diff 166,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 30,8333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,0000
surface_matches_ratio 21,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 30,8333
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 32,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 21,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,5000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 50,5155
first_serve_won_diff 63,5400
second_serve_won_diff 49,9850
bp_saved_diff 49,9000
bp_converted_diff 44,4450
aces_per_match_diff 1,8750
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 71,4286
momentum_p2 57,1429
momentum_diff 14,2857
weighted_momentum_diff 11,1184
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,0371
serve_consistency_p2 1,4043
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,1525
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2547
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,4370
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,1455
utr_p1 0,6388
utr_p2 0,3864
utr_advantage 17,3620
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18733
API ID 15182858
Gamdom ID 507494
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18733,
    "api_id": 15182858,
    "gamdom_id": 507494,
    "player1": "Matthew Dellavedova",
    "player2": "Shugo Ishigaki",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-11T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.01,
      "p2": 7.84
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 13.93
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7821,
    "prob_p2": 0.2179,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7821,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 437,
      "utr_singles": 13.49,
      "utr_ranking": 700,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 35,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.12820512820513,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.37,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.91,
          "opponent_name": "Carl Emil Overbeck"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.4,
          "opponent_name": "James Duckworth"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.45,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Emile Hudd"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.115037+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4596,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 4,
      "utr_v4_losses": 3,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.39,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.22,
          "opponent_name": "Charlie Pade"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ayaan Chowdhary"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.49,
          "opponent_name": "Ashton McLeod"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jera Staley"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sean Van Rensburg"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:34.102068+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.49,
      "ranking": 700,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 4596,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.38641591780714224,
    "utr_diff": 2.145464698639291,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1441647597254005,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 71.42857142857143,
    "momentum_p2": 57.14285714285715,
    "points_diff": 108,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 49.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666663,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 14.285714285714278,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 30.83333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 17.361966733165062,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 166,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.13467490332660167,
    "rank_advantage": 63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 30.83333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": 44.44499999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 50.5155,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 63.540000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.03710793803551,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.404255319148941,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.152476185903551,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 49.98499999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 21.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 11.118367346938768,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25466666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43700000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}