Matthew Dellavedova vs Charlie Pade
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 00:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matthew Dellavedova
Matthew …: 76.4% Charlie …: 23.6%
¿Por qué Matthew Dellavedova?
UTR 13.43 vs 12.00 (+1.43) — Ligera ventaja
Matthew …
W43-L35
55% WR
vs UTR 13.4
L2
Charlie …
W46-L26
64% WR
vs UTR 11.2
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Matthew … Charlie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1.11 6.00 90.0%
IA Fair Odds 1.31 4.24 76.4%
Edge vs Mercado: Matthew …: -8.0% Charlie …: +8.0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matthew Dellavedova
Ranking #437
UTR Rating 13.43 Pro
UTR Ranking #732
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Hard 6/21 = 28.6%
Charlie Pade
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12.00 General
UTR Ranking #3345
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Matthew Dellavedova
Record 2025 43W - 35L (55%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 13.4
Últimos 5:
L L W L W
Charlie Pade
Record 2025 46W - 26L (64%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11.2
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Matthew Dellavedova ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13.4 vs 11.2).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 63.0000
rank_ratio 1.1442
log_rank_ratio 0.1347
rank_tier_advantage 0.0000
points_diff 108.0000
best_rank_diff 166.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 30.8333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9.0000
surface_matches_ratio 21.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 30.8333
surface_wr_p2 0.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 32.0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50.0000
p1_surface_matches 21.0000
p2_surface_matches 0.0000
p1_surface_dominance -0.4286
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.7000
p2_confidence 0.3000
combined_confidence 0.5000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 50.5155
first_serve_won_diff 63.5400
second_serve_won_diff 49.9850
bp_saved_diff 49.9000
bp_converted_diff 44.4450
aces_per_match_diff 1.8750
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0.5000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 71.4286
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff -28.5714
weighted_momentum_diff -21.0245
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 2.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0.0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.0000
serve_consistency_p1 7.0371
serve_consistency_p2 1.8831
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4.1525
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0.2547
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0.4370
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff 1.4300
utr_p1 0.6388
utr_p2 0.4706
utr_advantage 11.2466
utr_both_pro 0.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 18734
API ID 15182886
Gamdom ID -
Torneo UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 18734,
    "api_id": 15182886,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Matthew Dellavedova",
    "player2": "Charlie Pade",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2025-12-10T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1111111111111112,
      "p2": 6.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 5.84
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7642,
    "prob_p2": 0.2358,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7642,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 437,
      "utr_singles": 13.43,
      "utr_ranking": 732,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 35,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.12820512820513,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.37,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.91,
          "opponent_name": "Carl Emil Overbeck"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.4,
          "opponent_name": "James Duckworth"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.45,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Emile Hudd"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.9,
          "opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.115037+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3345,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 46,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.888888888888886,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.17,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Shugo Ishigaki"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Scott Jones"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.44,
          "opponent_name": "Noah Brownrigg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Marvin BUYTAERT"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Andre Filep"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:47.092797+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.43,
      "ranking": 732,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3345,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6388235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_diff": 1.4299999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 1.1441647597254005,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 71.42857142857143,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 108,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 49.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -28.57142857142857,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 30.83333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 11.24655918206842,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 166,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.13467490332660167,
    "rank_advantage": 63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 30.83333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": 44.44499999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 21,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 50.5155,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 63.540000000000006,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.03710793803551,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.8831168831168803,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.152476185903551,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 49.98499999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 21.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.02448979591837,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25466666666666665,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43700000000000006,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}