Matthew Dellavedova vs Charlie Pade
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01 | Hard |
10 Dec 2025, 00:00
10 Dec 2025, 00:00
Sofascore
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Matthew Dellavedova
Matthew …: 76.4%
Charlie …: 23.6%
¿Por qué Matthew Dellavedova?
UTR 13.43 vs 12.00
(+1.43)
— Ligera ventaja
Matthew …
W43-L35
55% WR
vs UTR 13.4
L2
Charlie …
W46-L26
64% WR
vs UTR 11.2
W1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matthew … | Charlie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1.11 | 6.00 | 90.0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1.31 | 4.24 | 76.4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Matthew …: -8.0%
Charlie …: +8.0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matthew Dellavedova
Ranking
#437
UTR Rating
13.43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#732
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
6/21 = 28.6%
Charlie Pade
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12.00 General
UTR Ranking
#3345
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Matthew Dellavedova
Record 2025
43W - 35L (55%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13.4
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
W
Charlie Pade
Record 2025
46W - 26L (64%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
11.2
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Matthew Dellavedova ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13.4 vs 11.2).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 63.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.1442 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.1347 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 108.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 166.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30.8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9.0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 21.0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 30.8333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 32.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.4286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 50.5155 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 63.5400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 49.9850 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 49.9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 44.4450 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.8750 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 71.4286 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28.5714 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -21.0245 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.0371 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.8831 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4.1525 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2547 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.4370 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6388 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 11.2466 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
18734
API ID
15182886
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 18734,
"api_id": 15182886,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matthew Dellavedova",
"player2": "Charlie Pade",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Melbourne Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-12-10T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.1111111111111112,
"p2": 6.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.1,
"p2": 5.84
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7642,
"prob_p2": 0.2358,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7642,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 437,
"utr_singles": 13.43,
"utr_ranking": 732,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 43,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.12820512820513,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.37,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.91,
"opponent_name": "Carl Emil Overbeck"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.4,
"opponent_name": "James Duckworth"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.45,
"opponent_name": "Filip Peliwo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.2,
"opponent_name": "Emile Hudd"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Tomislav Edward Papac"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:43.115037+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3345,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 46,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.888888888888886,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.17,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Shugo Ishigaki"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Scott Jones"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.44,
"opponent_name": "Noah Brownrigg"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Marvin BUYTAERT"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Andre Filep"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:47.092797+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.43,
"ranking": 732,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3345,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6388235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 1.4299999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 1.1441647597254005,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 71.42857142857143,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 108,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 49.9,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -28.57142857142857,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 30.83333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 11.24655918206842,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 166,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.13467490332660167,
"rank_advantage": 63,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.83333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 44.44499999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 50.5155,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.875,
"combined_confidence": 0.5,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 63.540000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.42857142857142855,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.03710793803551,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.8831168831168803,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.152476185903551,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 32.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 49.98499999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 21.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -21.02448979591837,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.25466666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.43700000000000006,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}